Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and multi-model ensembles shows Paris under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 26, with daytime highs centered on 24–26 °C driven by moderate northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that allows strong insolation. This places the market’s top outcomes (24 °C at 36 %, 25 °C at 33.5 %, 26 °C at 24 %) in close contention because small differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and residual moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Above the long-term September average high of ~19.8 °C, the setup reflects a transient warm anomaly without extreme heat-wave dynamics. Traders are therefore weighting the latest afternoon model runs and official Météo-France guidance that will refine resolution criteria before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 26 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Paris le 26 septembre ?
24°C 36%
25°C 28%
26°C 24%
23°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
18%
23°C
20%
24°C
36%
25°C
28%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C ou plus
1%
24°C 36%
25°C 28%
26°C 24%
23°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$6 Vol.
36%
25°C
$134 Vol.
28%
26°C
$42 Vol.
24%
27°C
$38 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and multi-model ensembles shows Paris under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 26, with daytime highs centered on 24–26 °C driven by moderate northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that allows strong insolation. This places the market’s top outcomes (24 °C at 36 %, 25 °C at 33.5 %, 26 °C at 24 %) in close contention because small differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and residual moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Above the long-term September average high of ~19.8 °C, the setup reflects a transient warm anomaly without extreme heat-wave dynamics. Traders are therefore weighting the latest afternoon model runs and official Météo-France guidance that will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$221Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and multi-model ensembles shows Paris under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 26, with daytime highs centered on 24–26 °C driven by moderate northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that allows strong insolation. This places the market’s top outcomes (24 °C at 36 %, 25 °C at 33.5 %, 26 °C at 24 %) in close contention because small differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and residual moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Above the long-term September average high of ~19.8 °C, the setup reflects a transient warm anomaly without extreme heat-wave dynamics. Traders are therefore weighting the latest afternoon model runs and official Météo-France guidance that will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$221Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and multi-model ensembles shows Paris under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 26, with daytime highs centered on 24–26 °C driven by moderate northwesterly flow and limited cloud cover that allows strong insolation. This places the market’s top outcomes (24 °C at 36 %, 25 °C at 33.5 %, 26 °C at 24 %) in close contention because small differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and residual moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Above the long-term September average high of ~19.8 °C, the setup reflects a transient warm anomaly without extreme heat-wave dynamics. Traders are therefore weighting the latest afternoon model runs and official Météo-France guidance that will refine resolution criteria before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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