Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure regime with partly cloudy to clear skies over Paris on September 26, supporting overnight radiational cooling under light northwest winds. This setup favors a minimum temperature near 14–15 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 14 °C outcome at 37 % implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the nocturnal low because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or wind speed of just 1–2 m/s can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology places the average low at roughly 10.6 °C, so the current pattern is running several degrees above normal, limiting the chance of 10 °C or below to the 28 % market level unless a surprise increase in clear-sky cooling occurs. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 26 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 26 septembre ?
10°C ou moins 56%
14°C 39%
16°C 34%
11°C 32%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
56%
11°C
32%
12°C
21%
13°C
26%
14°C
39%
15°C
18%
16°C
34%
17°C
32%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C ou plus
1%
10°C ou moins 56%
14°C 39%
16°C 34%
11°C 32%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$81 Vol.
56%
11°C
$0 Vol.
32%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$105 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
34%
17°C
$0 Vol.
32%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure regime with partly cloudy to clear skies over Paris on September 26, supporting overnight radiational cooling under light northwest winds. This setup favors a minimum temperature near 14–15 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 14 °C outcome at 37 % implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the nocturnal low because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or wind speed of just 1–2 m/s can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology places the average low at roughly 10.6 °C, so the current pattern is running several degrees above normal, limiting the chance of 10 °C or below to the 28 % market level unless a surprise increase in clear-sky cooling occurs. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$186Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure regime with partly cloudy to clear skies over Paris on September 26, supporting overnight radiational cooling under light northwest winds. This setup favors a minimum temperature near 14–15 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 14 °C outcome at 37 % implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the nocturnal low because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or wind speed of just 1–2 m/s can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology places the average low at roughly 10.6 °C, so the current pattern is running several degrees above normal, limiting the chance of 10 °C or below to the 28 % market level unless a surprise increase in clear-sky cooling occurs. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$186Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure regime with partly cloudy to clear skies over Paris on September 26, supporting overnight radiational cooling under light northwest winds. This setup favors a minimum temperature near 14–15 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 14 °C outcome at 37 % implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the nocturnal low because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or wind speed of just 1–2 m/s can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology places the average low at roughly 10.6 °C, so the current pattern is running several degrees above normal, limiting the chance of 10 °C or below to the 28 % market level unless a surprise increase in clear-sky cooling occurs. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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