Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate sunny conditions and light winds on August 19, supporting daily highs near 30–31°C, above the historical August average of roughly 23–25°C. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather highlights minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances, which favor radiative heating and reduced cooling. These patterns explain why 31°C and 32°C lead the market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning combined odds above 80% based on current guidance. Minor model spreads and potential for slight variations in maximum timing introduce the observed uncertainty around exact thresholds. Updated official runs from Brazilian meteorological agencies will provide the next key data point ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 19 août ?
31°C 49%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
49%
32°C
32%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
26°C or below
$28 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$179 Vol.
1%
28°C
$111 Vol.
1%
29°C
$183 Vol.
4%
30°C
$242 Vol.
14%
31°C
$743 Vol.
49%
32°C
$226 Vol.
32%
33°C
$108 Vol.
5%
34°C
$117 Vol.
2%
35°C
$201 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate sunny conditions and light winds on August 19, supporting daily highs near 30–31°C, above the historical August average of roughly 23–25°C. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather highlights minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances, which favor radiative heating and reduced cooling. These patterns explain why 31°C and 32°C lead the market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning combined odds above 80% based on current guidance. Minor model spreads and potential for slight variations in maximum timing introduce the observed uncertainty around exact thresholds. Updated official runs from Brazilian meteorological agencies will provide the next key data point ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$2,258Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate sunny conditions and light winds on August 19, supporting daily highs near 30–31°C, above the historical August average of roughly 23–25°C. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather highlights minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances, which favor radiative heating and reduced cooling. These patterns explain why 31°C and 32°C lead the market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning combined odds above 80% based on current guidance. Minor model spreads and potential for slight variations in maximum timing introduce the observed uncertainty around exact thresholds. Updated official runs from Brazilian meteorological agencies will provide the next key data point ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,258Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate sunny conditions and light winds on August 19, supporting daily highs near 30–31°C, above the historical August average of roughly 23–25°C. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather highlights minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances, which favor radiative heating and reduced cooling. These patterns explain why 31°C and 32°C lead the market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning combined odds above 80% based on current guidance. Minor model spreads and potential for slight variations in maximum timing introduce the observed uncertainty around exact thresholds. Updated official runs from Brazilian meteorological agencies will provide the next key data point ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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