Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 6 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 6 juin ?
23°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 Vol.
$45,525 Vol.
6 juin 2026
15°C ou moins
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 Vol.
$45,525 Vol.
6 juin 2026
15°C ou moins
$171 Vol.
Non
16°C
$4,926 Vol.
Non
17°C
$818 Vol.
Non
18°C
$3,868 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,553 Vol.
Non
20°C
$3,859 Vol.
Non
21°C
$2,447 Vol.
Non
22°C
$3,778 Vol.
Non
23°C
$8,813 Vol.
Oui
24°C
$7,194 Vol.
Non
25°C ou plus
$6,098 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$45,525Date de fin
6 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,525Date de fin
6 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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