**Forecast models and official guidance from Singapore's Meteorological Service (MSS) point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 2 under prevailing southeasterly winds and mostly fair, partly cloudy conditions.** Recent MSS statements highlight continued dry weather with daily maxima typically 33–35°C in early September, while shorter-range numerical weather prediction runs (including GFS and regional guidance) converge on afternoon highs near 32°C at Changi and central stations, with limited cloud cover and only isolated shower chances that are unlikely to suppress the peak. Singapore’s equatorial location and high humidity sustain elevated heat indices, but the absence of strong convective cooling or monsoon surges favors readings in the low-to-mid 30s rather than extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus: the 60.5% odds on 33°C reflect the most probable outcome under current model agreement, while the 25.5% on 32°C captures downside risk from slightly stronger cloud or shower activity. Higher outcomes (34°C+) remain low-probability because sustained clear skies and minimal wind would be required to push beyond the current guidance envelope. Updated model runs and any late-day MSS advisories ahead of the observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Singapour le 2 septembre ?
33°C 61%
32°C 26%
34°C 9%
31°C 2.3%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
26%
33°C
61%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 26%
34°C 9%
31°C 2.3%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
26%
33°C
61%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Singapore's Meteorological Service (MSS) point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C on September 2 under prevailing southeasterly winds and mostly fair, partly cloudy conditions.** Recent MSS statements highlight continued dry weather with daily maxima typically 33–35°C in early September, while shorter-range numerical weather prediction runs (including GFS and regional guidance) converge on afternoon highs near 32°C at Changi and central stations, with limited cloud cover and only isolated shower chances that are unlikely to suppress the peak. Singapore’s equatorial location and high humidity sustain elevated heat indices, but the absence of strong convective cooling or monsoon surges favors readings in the low-to-mid 30s rather than extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus: the 60.5% odds on 33°C reflect the most probable outcome under current model agreement, while the 25.5% on 32°C captures downside risk from slightly stronger cloud or shower activity. Higher outcomes (34°C+) remain low-probability because sustained clear skies and minimal wind would be required to push beyond the current guidance envelope. Updated model runs and any late-day MSS advisories ahead of the observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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