Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office consensus on a daily maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 20, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and moderate humidity without significant heat advection or subsidence. These align with August climatology showing average highs near 31°C and rare excursions above 34°C, explaining the market’s tight clustering on 33°C (52%) and 32°C (40%) outcomes as traders weigh small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. No recent model shifts or atmospheric changes have altered this outlook, though final updates ahead of the date could refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 20 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 20 août ?
33°C 52%
32°C 40%
34°C 7%
31°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
40%
33°C
52%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 40%
34°C 7%
31°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 août 2026
29°C or below
$146 Vol.
1%
30°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$249 Vol.
4%
32°C
$891 Vol.
40%
33°C
$343 Vol.
52%
34°C
$183 Vol.
7%
35°C
$68 Vol.
1%
36°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office consensus on a daily maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 20, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and moderate humidity without significant heat advection or subsidence. These align with August climatology showing average highs near 31°C and rare excursions above 34°C, explaining the market’s tight clustering on 33°C (52%) and 32°C (40%) outcomes as traders weigh small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. No recent model shifts or atmospheric changes have altered this outlook, though final updates ahead of the date could refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,496Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office consensus on a daily maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 20, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and moderate humidity without significant heat advection or subsidence. These align with August climatology showing average highs near 31°C and rare excursions above 34°C, explaining the market’s tight clustering on 33°C (52%) and 32°C (40%) outcomes as traders weigh small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. No recent model shifts or atmospheric changes have altered this outlook, though final updates ahead of the date could refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,496Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office consensus on a daily maximum of 32–33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 20, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and moderate humidity without significant heat advection or subsidence. These align with August climatology showing average highs near 31°C and rare excursions above 34°C, explaining the market’s tight clustering on 33°C (52%) and 32°C (40%) outcomes as traders weigh small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. No recent model shifts or atmospheric changes have altered this outlook, though final updates ahead of the date could refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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