Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely maximum for coastal Tel Aviv on August 19, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation are expected to maintain temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average high of 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread and no incoming heat dome or anomalous subsidence. Overnight recovery and humidity levels remain within climatological norms, while the absence of stronger northerly flow or Saharan air intrusions limits upside risk to 33°C or higher. Tomorrow’s updated model runs represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 19 août ?
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 5%
30°C 2.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
32%
32°C
64%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 5%
30°C 2.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
29°C or below
$61 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$140 Vol.
2%
31°C
$300 Vol.
32%
32°C
$199 Vol.
64%
33°C
$110 Vol.
5%
34°C
$45 Vol.
1%
35°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$256 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely maximum for coastal Tel Aviv on August 19, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation are expected to maintain temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average high of 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread and no incoming heat dome or anomalous subsidence. Overnight recovery and humidity levels remain within climatological norms, while the absence of stronger northerly flow or Saharan air intrusions limits upside risk to 33°C or higher. Tomorrow’s updated model runs represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,897Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely maximum for coastal Tel Aviv on August 19, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation are expected to maintain temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average high of 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread and no incoming heat dome or anomalous subsidence. Overnight recovery and humidity levels remain within climatological norms, while the absence of stronger northerly flow or Saharan air intrusions limits upside risk to 33°C or higher. Tomorrow’s updated model runs represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,897Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely maximum for coastal Tel Aviv on August 19, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation are expected to maintain temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average high of 30–31°C, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread and no incoming heat dome or anomalous subsidence. Overnight recovery and humidity levels remain within climatological norms, while the absence of stronger northerly flow or Saharan air intrusions limits upside risk to 33°C or higher. Tomorrow’s updated model runs represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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