Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, setting up a November 3 general election between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19 primaries. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and recent history of double-digit Republican victories underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 57.5%, though the open contest and Lexington area's urban voter base create room for Democratic gains reflected in the 39.5% Democratic share. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, with limited post-primary polling and candidate positioning shaping assessments ahead of the general election campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKY-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
KY-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$26,519 Vol.
$26,519 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
57%
Parti démocrate
40%
$26,519 Vol.
$26,519 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$10,297 Vol.
57%
Parti démocrate
$16,221 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, setting up a November 3 general election between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19 primaries. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and recent history of double-digit Republican victories underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 57.5%, though the open contest and Lexington area's urban voter base create room for Democratic gains reflected in the 39.5% Democratic share. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, with limited post-primary polling and candidate positioning shaping assessments ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,519Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, setting up a November 3 general election between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19 primaries. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and recent history of double-digit Republican victories underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 57.5%, though the open contest and Lexington area's urban voter base create room for Democratic gains reflected in the 39.5% Democratic share. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, with limited post-primary polling and candidate positioning shaping assessments ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,519Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, setting up a November 3 general election between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19 primaries. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and recent history of double-digit Republican victories underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 57.5%, though the open contest and Lexington area's urban voter base create room for Democratic gains reflected in the 39.5% Democratic share. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, with limited post-primary polling and candidate positioning shaping assessments ahead of the general election campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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