Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado faces Democrat Zach Dembo in the November 3 general election for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans, consistent with Donald Trump’s 15-point margin in 2024, supporting the 57.5% trader consensus for the Republican Party. Alvarado’s primary victory on May 19 and background as a former state senator and health commissioner provide a standard path in a district where forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic nominee Dembo benefits from the Lexington area’s urban base, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability, though early polling and historical turnout patterns limit upside absent a broader national shift. No major developments have emerged since the primaries to alter these dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKY-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
KY-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$26,519 Vol.
$26,519 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
57%
Parti démocrate
40%
$26,519 Vol.
$26,519 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$10,297 Vol.
57%
Parti démocrate
$16,221 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado faces Democrat Zach Dembo in the November 3 general election for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans, consistent with Donald Trump’s 15-point margin in 2024, supporting the 57.5% trader consensus for the Republican Party. Alvarado’s primary victory on May 19 and background as a former state senator and health commissioner provide a standard path in a district where forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic nominee Dembo benefits from the Lexington area’s urban base, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability, though early polling and historical turnout patterns limit upside absent a broader national shift. No major developments have emerged since the primaries to alter these dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,519Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado faces Democrat Zach Dembo in the November 3 general election for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans, consistent with Donald Trump’s 15-point margin in 2024, supporting the 57.5% trader consensus for the Republican Party. Alvarado’s primary victory on May 19 and background as a former state senator and health commissioner provide a standard path in a district where forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic nominee Dembo benefits from the Lexington area’s urban base, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability, though early polling and historical turnout patterns limit upside absent a broader national shift. No major developments have emerged since the primaries to alter these dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,519Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado faces Democrat Zach Dembo in the November 3 general election for Kentucky’s 6th congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Andy Barr retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans, consistent with Donald Trump’s 15-point margin in 2024, supporting the 57.5% trader consensus for the Republican Party. Alvarado’s primary victory on May 19 and background as a former state senator and health commissioner provide a standard path in a district where forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic nominee Dembo benefits from the Lexington area’s urban base, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability, though early polling and historical turnout patterns limit upside absent a broader national shift. No major developments have emerged since the primaries to alter these dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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