Sébastien Lecornu heads a minority government in France’s fragmented National Assembly, relying on shifting alliances—especially Socialist backing—to survive repeated no-confidence threats since his October 2025 reappointment. The immediate pressure centers on the 2027 budget, which targets €54 billion in spending reductions to narrow the deficit toward 5% of GDP after missing 2026 targets, a move drawing opposition from left and right parties while fuel-price tensions add social friction ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote. Lecornu has previously navigated censure attempts through concessions and procedural maneuvers, yet the narrow margins and upcoming parliamentary battles over pensions, local-government contributions, and fiscal measures keep his position vulnerable to any breakdown in cross-bloc deals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$352,685 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre 2026
1%
31 décembre 2026
38%
$352,685 Vol.
30 septembre 2026
$8,889 Vol.
1%
31 décembre 2026
$17,341 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu heads a minority government in France’s fragmented National Assembly, relying on shifting alliances—especially Socialist backing—to survive repeated no-confidence threats since his October 2025 reappointment. The immediate pressure centers on the 2027 budget, which targets €54 billion in spending reductions to narrow the deficit toward 5% of GDP after missing 2026 targets, a move drawing opposition from left and right parties while fuel-price tensions add social friction ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote. Lecornu has previously navigated censure attempts through concessions and procedural maneuvers, yet the narrow margins and upcoming parliamentary battles over pensions, local-government contributions, and fiscal measures keep his position vulnerable to any breakdown in cross-bloc deals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$352,685Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu heads a minority government in France’s fragmented National Assembly, relying on shifting alliances—especially Socialist backing—to survive repeated no-confidence threats since his October 2025 reappointment. The immediate pressure centers on the 2027 budget, which targets €54 billion in spending reductions to narrow the deficit toward 5% of GDP after missing 2026 targets, a move drawing opposition from left and right parties while fuel-price tensions add social friction ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote. Lecornu has previously navigated censure attempts through concessions and procedural maneuvers, yet the narrow margins and upcoming parliamentary battles over pensions, local-government contributions, and fiscal measures keep his position vulnerable to any breakdown in cross-bloc deals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$352,685Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Sébastien Lecornu heads a minority government in France’s fragmented National Assembly, relying on shifting alliances—especially Socialist backing—to survive repeated no-confidence threats since his October 2025 reappointment. The immediate pressure centers on the 2027 budget, which targets €54 billion in spending reductions to narrow the deficit toward 5% of GDP after missing 2026 targets, a move drawing opposition from left and right parties while fuel-price tensions add social friction ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote. Lecornu has previously navigated censure attempts through concessions and procedural maneuvers, yet the narrow margins and upcoming parliamentary battles over pensions, local-government contributions, and fiscal measures keep his position vulnerable to any breakdown in cross-bloc deals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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