In the closely contested Los Angeles mayoral primary set for June 2, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nithya Raman as frontrunner at 42% implied probability, ahead of Spencer Pratt (33%) and incumbent Karen Bass (20%), diverging from recent polls like UCLA Luskin's April 3 survey showing Bass at 25% amid 40% undecided voters. Raman's surge stems from a late February entry and a controversial Loyola Marymount poll giving her 33% support, capitalizing on progressive momentum and Bass's 56% unfavorability tied to homelessness and wildfire responses. Pratt, a celebrity outsider, gains from Joe Rogan's recent endorsement and viral critiques of street takeovers, despite residency questions post-Palisades fire. High undecideds and volatile polling keep the top-two race tight; mailed ballots starting May 5, debates, and endorsements could tip battleground support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNithya Raman 43%
Spencer Pratt 33%
Karen Bass 19%
Rae Huang 4.8%
$898,519 Vol.
$898,519 Vol.
Nithya Raman
43%
Spencer Pratt
33%
Karen Bass
19%
Rae Huang
5%
Adam Miller
1%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
Nithya Raman 43%
Spencer Pratt 33%
Karen Bass 19%
Rae Huang 4.8%
$898,519 Vol.
$898,519 Vol.
Nithya Raman
43%
Spencer Pratt
33%
Karen Bass
19%
Rae Huang
5%
Adam Miller
1%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Marché ouvert : Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the closely contested Los Angeles mayoral primary set for June 2, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nithya Raman as frontrunner at 42% implied probability, ahead of Spencer Pratt (33%) and incumbent Karen Bass (20%), diverging from recent polls like UCLA Luskin's April 3 survey showing Bass at 25% amid 40% undecided voters. Raman's surge stems from a late February entry and a controversial Loyola Marymount poll giving her 33% support, capitalizing on progressive momentum and Bass's 56% unfavorability tied to homelessness and wildfire responses. Pratt, a celebrity outsider, gains from Joe Rogan's recent endorsement and viral critiques of street takeovers, despite residency questions post-Palisades fire. High undecideds and volatile polling keep the top-two race tight; mailed ballots starting May 5, debates, and endorsements could tip battleground support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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