Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C in Busan on September 21 under clear skies and northerly flow, consistent with seasonal norms for late September. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher brackets, alongside 20-22% probabilities for specific values near 17-22°C, reflect trader focus on remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Key variables include slight model disagreements on boundary-layer cooling rates, wind speeds near 10-15 mph that could limit radiative cooling, and any last-minute shifts in high-pressure positioning. Updated short-range model runs and local observations over the next 12-18 hours will likely refine the expected minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Busan le 21 septembre ?
13°C ou moins 95%
23°C ou plus 95%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
13°C ou moins
95%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C ou plus
95%
13°C ou moins 95%
23°C ou plus 95%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
13°C ou moins
95%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C ou plus
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C in Busan on September 21 under clear skies and northerly flow, consistent with seasonal norms for late September. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher brackets, alongside 20-22% probabilities for specific values near 17-22°C, reflect trader focus on remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Key variables include slight model disagreements on boundary-layer cooling rates, wind speeds near 10-15 mph that could limit radiative cooling, and any last-minute shifts in high-pressure positioning. Updated short-range model runs and local observations over the next 12-18 hours will likely refine the expected minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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