Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a humid, mostly cloudy night ahead of September 4 with an expected overnight low near 73–75 °F, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched 46 % market-implied odds on the 67 °F-or-below and 86 °F-or-higher tails reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective timing and lake-breeze modulation. Historical September climatology (average low 63 °F) underscores how atypical warmth currently elevates the floor, while any earlier clearing or stronger advection could still shift the minimum by several degrees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chicago le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chicago le 4 septembre ?
67°F ou moins 92%
86°F ou plus 92%
76-77°F 50%
68-69°F 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
92%
68-69°F
49%
70-71 °F
27%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83 °F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86°F ou plus
92%
67°F ou moins 92%
86°F ou plus 92%
76-77°F 50%
68-69°F 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
92%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
49%
70-71 °F
$0 Vol.
27%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
49%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
50%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
49%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
49%
82-83 °F
$0 Vol.
49%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
49%
86°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a humid, mostly cloudy night ahead of September 4 with an expected overnight low near 73–75 °F, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched 46 % market-implied odds on the 67 °F-or-below and 86 °F-or-higher tails reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective timing and lake-breeze modulation. Historical September climatology (average low 63 °F) underscores how atypical warmth currently elevates the floor, while any earlier clearing or stronger advection could still shift the minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a humid, mostly cloudy night ahead of September 4 with an expected overnight low near 73–75 °F, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched 46 % market-implied odds on the 67 °F-or-below and 86 °F-or-higher tails reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective timing and lake-breeze modulation. Historical September climatology (average low 63 °F) underscores how atypical warmth currently elevates the floor, while any earlier clearing or stronger advection could still shift the minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a humid, mostly cloudy night ahead of September 4 with an expected overnight low near 73–75 °F, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched 46 % market-implied odds on the 67 °F-or-below and 86 °F-or-higher tails reflect residual uncertainty from potential convective timing and lake-breeze modulation. Historical September climatology (average low 63 °F) underscores how atypical warmth currently elevates the floor, while any earlier clearing or stronger advection could still shift the minimum by several degrees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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