Current forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Helsinki le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Helsinki le 23 août ?
9°C ou moins 44%
11°C 19%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
9°C ou moins
44%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C ou plus
<1%
9°C ou moins 44%
11°C 19%
12°C 19%
13°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
44%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$15 Vol.
19%
16°C
$27 Vol.
19%
17°C
$5 Vol.
8%
18°C
$5 Vol.
8%
19°C ou plus
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$99Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office place the minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 23 near 11–12 °C under a pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, cloud cover, and light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble model spreads and climatological late-August cooling trends support a non-negligible tail risk of readings at or below 9 °C if winds slacken or clearer intervals develop, driving the 43.5 % market-implied probability for that bin. Higher-temperature outcomes cluster near 19 % because recent model runs show limited upside beyond 13–15 °C given the expected air mass. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations released in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points shifting these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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