Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 26–27°C on August 23 amid continued thundery showers and high humidity. Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from falling further, while light easterly winds provide minimal mixing. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced patterns, with small forecast variations in precipitation timing or wind shifts able to nudge the exact reading across adjacent buckets. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered around these outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final observed minimum from official stations. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 23 août ?
21°C or below 53%
28°C 47%
31°C or higher 45%
30°C 44%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
21°C or below
53%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
23%
25°C
26%
26°C
37%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
23%
30°C
44%
31°C or higher
45%
21°C or below 53%
28°C 47%
31°C or higher 45%
30°C 44%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
21°C or below
$25 Vol.
53%
22°C
$25 Vol.
29%
23°C
$25 Vol.
29%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
37%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$19 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
23%
30°C
$5 Vol.
44%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 26–27°C on August 23 amid continued thundery showers and high humidity. Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from falling further, while light easterly winds provide minimal mixing. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced patterns, with small forecast variations in precipitation timing or wind shifts able to nudge the exact reading across adjacent buckets. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered around these outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final observed minimum from official stations. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$100Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 26–27°C on August 23 amid continued thundery showers and high humidity. Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from falling further, while light easterly winds provide minimal mixing. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced patterns, with small forecast variations in precipitation timing or wind shifts able to nudge the exact reading across adjacent buckets. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered around these outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final observed minimum from official stations. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$100Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 26–27°C on August 23 amid continued thundery showers and high humidity. Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from falling further, while light easterly winds provide minimal mixing. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced patterns, with small forecast variations in precipitation timing or wind shifts able to nudge the exact reading across adjacent buckets. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered around these outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final observed minimum from official stations. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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