**Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) converge on an overnight low near 22°C for Istanbul on August 21, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure.** This setup favors gradual radiative cooling after sunset, with dew points around 19–21°C limiting further drops, while the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects keep readings from falling sharply below 21°C. Recent observations and hourly trends show temperatures stabilizing in the low 22°C range by early morning, consistent with climatological normals for late August. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 21–23°C capture residual uncertainty from station-specific measurement timing, minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and potential micro-variations in cloud cover or wind. Lower outcomes (18–20°C) carry reduced probability due to the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms like clear radiative nights or northerly outbreaks, while higher values above 24°C appear unlikely given the observed cooling trajectory. Updated model runs and official station data will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 21 août ?
21°C 65%
22°C 65%
23°C 65%
18°C 59%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
17°C or below
35%
18°C
59%
19°C
59%
20°C
25%
21°C
41%
22°C
41%
23°C
41%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 65%
22°C 65%
23°C 65%
18°C 59%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
17°C or below
$109 Vol.
35%
18°C
$173 Vol.
59%
19°C
$123 Vol.
59%
20°C
$177 Vol.
25%
21°C
$11 Vol.
41%
22°C
$22 Vol.
41%
23°C
$5 Vol.
41%
24°C
$227 Vol.
1%
25°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$937 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$357 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) converge on an overnight low near 22°C for Istanbul on August 21, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure.**
This setup favors gradual radiative cooling after sunset, with dew points around 19–21°C limiting further drops, while the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects keep readings from falling sharply below 21°C. Recent observations and hourly trends show temperatures stabilizing in the low 22°C range by early morning, consistent with climatological normals for late August.
The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 21–23°C capture residual uncertainty from station-specific measurement timing, minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and potential micro-variations in cloud cover or wind. Lower outcomes (18–20°C) carry reduced probability due to the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms like clear radiative nights or northerly outbreaks, while higher values above 24°C appear unlikely given the observed cooling trajectory. Updated model runs and official station data will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,576Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) converge on an overnight low near 22°C for Istanbul on August 21, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure.**
This setup favors gradual radiative cooling after sunset, with dew points around 19–21°C limiting further drops, while the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects keep readings from falling sharply below 21°C. Recent observations and hourly trends show temperatures stabilizing in the low 22°C range by early morning, consistent with climatological normals for late August.
The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 21–23°C capture residual uncertainty from station-specific measurement timing, minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and potential micro-variations in cloud cover or wind. Lower outcomes (18–20°C) carry reduced probability due to the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms like clear radiative nights or northerly outbreaks, while higher values above 24°C appear unlikely given the observed cooling trajectory. Updated model runs and official station data will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,576Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) converge on an overnight low near 22°C for Istanbul on August 21, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure.** This setup favors gradual radiative cooling after sunset, with dew points around 19–21°C limiting further drops, while the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects keep readings from falling sharply below 21°C. Recent observations and hourly trends show temperatures stabilizing in the low 22°C range by early morning, consistent with climatological normals for late August. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 21–23°C capture residual uncertainty from station-specific measurement timing, minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and potential micro-variations in cloud cover or wind. Lower outcomes (18–20°C) carry reduced probability due to the absence of stronger cooling mechanisms like clear radiative nights or northerly outbreaks, while higher values above 24°C appear unlikely given the observed cooling trajectory. Updated model runs and official station data will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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