Recent forecasts for Istanbul on September 16 indicate a minimum temperature likely between 15–20°C amid overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers, with models showing modest disagreement on nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative heat loss overnight while marine air from the Bosphorus and Black Sea moderates extremes, keeping values near seasonal norms around 18–19°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly across 15–20°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength can alter the low by 1–2°C, and official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the exact figure by morning. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations near dawn represent the key data points that could shift positioning before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 16 septembre ?
15°C 89%
17°C 48%
19°C 48%
20°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
10%
14°C
18%
15°C
89%
16°C
46%
17°C
48%
18°C
48%
19°C
48%
20°C
48%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 89%
17°C 48%
19°C 48%
20°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$117 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
89%
16°C
$15 Vol.
46%
17°C
$34 Vol.
48%
18°C
$39 Vol.
48%
19°C
$33 Vol.
48%
20°C
$43 Vol.
48%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
23°C ou plus
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Istanbul on September 16 indicate a minimum temperature likely between 15–20°C amid overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers, with models showing modest disagreement on nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative heat loss overnight while marine air from the Bosphorus and Black Sea moderates extremes, keeping values near seasonal norms around 18–19°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly across 15–20°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength can alter the low by 1–2°C, and official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the exact figure by morning. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations near dawn represent the key data points that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$324Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Istanbul on September 16 indicate a minimum temperature likely between 15–20°C amid overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers, with models showing modest disagreement on nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative heat loss overnight while marine air from the Bosphorus and Black Sea moderates extremes, keeping values near seasonal norms around 18–19°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly across 15–20°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength can alter the low by 1–2°C, and official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the exact figure by morning. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations near dawn represent the key data points that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$324Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Istanbul on September 16 indicate a minimum temperature likely between 15–20°C amid overcast skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered showers, with models showing modest disagreement on nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative heat loss overnight while marine air from the Bosphorus and Black Sea moderates extremes, keeping values near seasonal norms around 18–19°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly across 15–20°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength can alter the low by 1–2°C, and official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the exact figure by morning. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations near dawn represent the key data points that could shift positioning before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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