Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 5 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 5 juin ?
12°C 100.0%
6°C ou moins <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
5 juin 2026
6°C ou moins
Non
7°C
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Oui
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C ou plus
Non
12°C 100.0%
6°C ou moins <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
5 juin 2026
6°C ou moins
$3,645 Vol.
Non
7°C
$469 Vol.
Non
8°C
$1,077 Vol.
Non
9°C
$6,807 Vol.
Non
10°C
$3,171 Vol.
Non
11°C
$2,013 Vol.
Non
12°C
$5,179 Vol.
Oui
13°C
$3,518 Vol.
Non
14°C
$1,592 Vol.
Non
15°C
$2,939 Vol.
Non
16°C ou plus
$6,425 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$36,837Date de fin
5 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,837Date de fin
5 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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