Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model consensus around 30–32°C highs for Karachi on September 4, underpin the market's concentration on those outcomes amid stable late-monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, light drizzle observed in recent days, and moderate westerly winds are limiting daytime heating and solar insolation along the coastal plain, consistent with historical September averages near 31°C. These factors position 31°C as the leading implied probability while keeping 30°C and 32°C viable depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine any shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Karachi le 4 septembre ?
31°C 47%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
26°C ou moins
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
17%
31°C
47%
32°C
29%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
3%
31°C 47%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
26°C ou moins
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
17%
31°C
47%
32°C
29%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model consensus around 30–32°C highs for Karachi on September 4, underpin the market's concentration on those outcomes amid stable late-monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, light drizzle observed in recent days, and moderate westerly winds are limiting daytime heating and solar insolation along the coastal plain, consistent with historical September averages near 31°C. These factors position 31°C as the leading implied probability while keeping 30°C and 32°C viable depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine any shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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