Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 14°C in London on September 16 under mild, mostly cloudy to sunny-interval conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus drives the market's near-certain 14°C outcome, consistent with typical early-September climatology where radiative cooling overnight yields lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius absent strong high-pressure clearing or cold-air advection. Traders weigh real-time observational updates and model runs showing limited variability. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or revised model output could alter the exact minimum, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation from the 14°C threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 16 septembre ?
14°C 99.5%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$6,600 Vol.
$6,600 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Oui
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C ou plus
Non
14°C 99.5%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$6,600 Vol.
$6,600 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$91 Vol.
Non
9°C
$76 Vol.
Non
10°C
$76 Vol.
Non
11°C
$136 Vol.
Non
12°C
$1,521 Vol.
Non
13°C
$1,930 Vol.
Non
14°C
$1,363 Vol.
Oui
15°C
$1,105 Vol.
Non
16°C
$91 Vol.
Non
17°C
$114 Vol.
Non
18°C ou plus
$96 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 14°C in London on September 16 under mild, mostly cloudy to sunny-interval conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus drives the market's near-certain 14°C outcome, consistent with typical early-September climatology where radiative cooling overnight yields lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius absent strong high-pressure clearing or cold-air advection. Traders weigh real-time observational updates and model runs showing limited variability. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or revised model output could alter the exact minimum, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation from the 14°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,600Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 14°C in London on September 16 under mild, mostly cloudy to sunny-interval conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus drives the market's near-certain 14°C outcome, consistent with typical early-September climatology where radiative cooling overnight yields lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius absent strong high-pressure clearing or cold-air advection. Traders weigh real-time observational updates and model runs showing limited variability. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or revised model output could alter the exact minimum, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation from the 14°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,600Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 14°C in London on September 16 under mild, mostly cloudy to sunny-interval conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus drives the market's near-certain 14°C outcome, consistent with typical early-September climatology where radiative cooling overnight yields lows in the low-to-mid teens Celsius absent strong high-pressure clearing or cold-air advection. Traders weigh real-time observational updates and model runs showing limited variability. A shift in cloud cover, stronger winds, or revised model output could alter the exact minimum, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation from the 14°C threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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