**Trader consensus strongly favors a 64-65°F low in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, at 92% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current National Weather Service and model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-60s under typical early-September marine-layer conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow from the Pacific moderating radiational cooling. Historical climatology supports this range, as the 1991–2020 average low for the date is 64.7°F at Los Angeles International Airport, with recent years rarely deviating sharply absent strong offshore winds or anomalous cold-air advection. Supporting evidence includes consistent forecast runs from multiple sources projecting minimums of 61–67°F, aligning closely with the 64–65°F bin. No major synoptic features—such as a deep trough or Santa Ana wind event—are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Realistic challenges to this outcome would require a sharper-than-forecast drop in dew points, enhanced clear-sky cooling, or a late-day temperature plunge below model consensus, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Los Angeles le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Los Angeles le 2 septembre ?
54-55°F 99%
53°F ou moins 98%
56-57°F 94%
64-65 °F 92%
$286 Vol.
$286 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
53°F ou moins
98%
54-55°F
99%
56-57°F
94%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
72%
62-63 °F
49%
64-65 °F
92%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F ou plus
<1%
54-55°F 99%
53°F ou moins 98%
56-57°F 94%
64-65 °F 92%
$286 Vol.
$286 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
53°F ou moins
$12 Vol.
98%
54-55°F
$12 Vol.
99%
56-57°F
$27 Vol.
94%
58-59°F
$12 Vol.
15%
60-61°F
$12 Vol.
72%
62-63 °F
$1 Vol.
49%
64-65 °F
$2 Vol.
92%
66-67°F
$75 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$44 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$37 Vol.
<1%
72°F ou plus
$52 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 64-65°F low in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, at 92% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current National Weather Service and model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-60s under typical early-September marine-layer conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow from the Pacific moderating radiational cooling. Historical climatology supports this range, as the 1991–2020 average low for the date is 64.7°F at Los Angeles International Airport, with recent years rarely deviating sharply absent strong offshore winds or anomalous cold-air advection.
Supporting evidence includes consistent forecast runs from multiple sources projecting minimums of 61–67°F, aligning closely with the 64–65°F bin. No major synoptic features—such as a deep trough or Santa Ana wind event—are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would require a sharper-than-forecast drop in dew points, enhanced clear-sky cooling, or a late-day temperature plunge below model consensus, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$286Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 64-65°F low in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, at 92% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current National Weather Service and model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-60s under typical early-September marine-layer conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow from the Pacific moderating radiational cooling. Historical climatology supports this range, as the 1991–2020 average low for the date is 64.7°F at Los Angeles International Airport, with recent years rarely deviating sharply absent strong offshore winds or anomalous cold-air advection.
Supporting evidence includes consistent forecast runs from multiple sources projecting minimums of 61–67°F, aligning closely with the 64–65°F bin. No major synoptic features—such as a deep trough or Santa Ana wind event—are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would require a sharper-than-forecast drop in dew points, enhanced clear-sky cooling, or a late-day temperature plunge below model consensus, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$286Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 64-65°F low in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, at 92% implied probability.** This positioning reflects current National Weather Service and model guidance showing overnight lows in the mid-60s under typical early-September marine-layer conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow from the Pacific moderating radiational cooling. Historical climatology supports this range, as the 1991–2020 average low for the date is 64.7°F at Los Angeles International Airport, with recent years rarely deviating sharply absent strong offshore winds or anomalous cold-air advection. Supporting evidence includes consistent forecast runs from multiple sources projecting minimums of 61–67°F, aligning closely with the 64–65°F bin. No major synoptic features—such as a deep trough or Santa Ana wind event—are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Realistic challenges to this outcome would require a sharper-than-forecast drop in dew points, enhanced clear-sky cooling, or a late-day temperature plunge below model consensus, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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