Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon is the main driver, delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to an overnight minimum in the 24–27°C range, with 24–26°C favored due to expected moderate-to-heavy rain and fresh southwesterly winds that enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Subtle differences among forecasts arise from variations in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. These scientific uncertainties, combined with the short time to resolution on August 30, produce the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 30 août ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 30 août ?
24°C 50%
22°C 49%
30°C 49%
29°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
40%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
2%
24°C 50%
22°C 49%
30°C 49%
29°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
21°C or below
$151 Vol.
1%
22°C
$16 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$6 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$20 Vol.
40%
30°C
$135 Vol.
49%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon is the main driver, delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to an overnight minimum in the 24–27°C range, with 24–26°C favored due to expected moderate-to-heavy rain and fresh southwesterly winds that enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Subtle differences among forecasts arise from variations in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. These scientific uncertainties, combined with the short time to resolution on August 30, produce the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$333Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon is the main driver, delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to an overnight minimum in the 24–27°C range, with 24–26°C favored due to expected moderate-to-heavy rain and fresh southwesterly winds that enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Subtle differences among forecasts arise from variations in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. These scientific uncertainties, combined with the short time to resolution on August 30, produce the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$333Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon is the main driver, delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to an overnight minimum in the 24–27°C range, with 24–26°C favored due to expected moderate-to-heavy rain and fresh southwesterly winds that enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Subtle differences among forecasts arise from variations in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. These scientific uncertainties, combined with the short time to resolution on August 30, produce the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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