**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–14°C for Mexico City’s August 27 minimum, reflecting model agreement on moderate radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** Mexico City’s high-elevation basin location (~2,240–2,300 m) produces naturally cooler nights, while the ongoing rainy season enhances cloud cover and humidity that limit temperature drops compared with clear, dry conditions. Recent tropical wave activity and low-level moisture have sustained overnight cloudiness and light winds, moderating cooling rates. Historical August minima average near 10–11°C, but current forecasts from multiple sources converge on 12–13°C lows, with slight variations arising from exact rainfall timing, local wind shifts, and urban heat retention. The spread across 11–14°C captures remaining uncertainty in model resolution of these mesoscale factors ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 27 août ?
12°C 49%
14°C 48%
11°C 48%
10°C 26%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
26%
11°C
48%
12°C
49%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 49%
14°C 48%
11°C 48%
10°C 26%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
26%
11°C
48%
12°C
49%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–14°C for Mexico City’s August 27 minimum, reflecting model agreement on moderate radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** Mexico City’s high-elevation basin location (~2,240–2,300 m) produces naturally cooler nights, while the ongoing rainy season enhances cloud cover and humidity that limit temperature drops compared with clear, dry conditions. Recent tropical wave activity and low-level moisture have sustained overnight cloudiness and light winds, moderating cooling rates. Historical August minima average near 10–11°C, but current forecasts from multiple sources converge on 12–13°C lows, with slight variations arising from exact rainfall timing, local wind shifts, and urban heat retention. The spread across 11–14°C captures remaining uncertainty in model resolution of these mesoscale factors ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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