Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 26 août ?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F ou moins <1%
68-69 °F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$11,773 Vol.
$11,773 Vol.
26 août 2026
67°F ou moins
Non
68-69 °F
Non
70-71°F
Non
72-73 °F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79°F
Oui
80-81 °F
Non
82-83°F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86°F ou plus
Non
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F ou moins <1%
68-69 °F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$11,773 Vol.
$11,773 Vol.
26 août 2026
67°F ou moins
$1,329 Vol.
Non
68-69 °F
$771 Vol.
Non
70-71°F
$1,108 Vol.
Non
72-73 °F
$526 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$1,934 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$1,191 Vol.
Non
78-79°F
$1,074 Vol.
Oui
80-81 °F
$2,184 Vol.
Non
82-83°F
$1,126 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$235 Vol.
Non
86°F ou plus
$295 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$11,773Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,773Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus has coalesced around an implied 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 78–79°F in Miami on August 26, reflecting the strong alignment between climatological norms and observed conditions. Official National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 77°F amid typical late-summer subtropical patterns, with average August lows near 77.6°F driven by persistent maritime tropical air, high dew points near 75°F, and minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus and historical analogs from the past decade show little deviation from this range absent a rare cold front or anomalous northerly flow, both absent in recent monitoring. Resolution hinges on verified station readings, with only an unexpected measurement revision or localized microclimate effect realistically able to shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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