**Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy producing mostly clear skies and light winds for Milan on August 30, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32 °C.** Minimum temperatures are expected to occur around dawn, with current guidance centering on 19–22 °C depending on exact boundary-layer moisture and residual cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 16–19 °C, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 17–18 °C, but the current warm air mass and lack of synoptic cooling keep probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes low while capping upside above 23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations in the final hours before midnight will be the key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 30 août ?
15°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 48%
23°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
14°C or below
14%
15°C
50%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
29%
19°C
25%
20°C
50%
21°C
48%
22°C
1%
23°C
48%
24°C or higher
16%
15°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 48%
23°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$0 Vol.
48%
22°C
$27 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
48%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy producing mostly clear skies and light winds for Milan on August 30, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32 °C.** Minimum temperatures are expected to occur around dawn, with current guidance centering on 19–22 °C depending on exact boundary-layer moisture and residual cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 16–19 °C, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 17–18 °C, but the current warm air mass and lack of synoptic cooling keep probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes low while capping upside above 23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations in the final hours before midnight will be the key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$37Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy producing mostly clear skies and light winds for Milan on August 30, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32 °C.** Minimum temperatures are expected to occur around dawn, with current guidance centering on 19–22 °C depending on exact boundary-layer moisture and residual cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 16–19 °C, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 17–18 °C, but the current warm air mass and lack of synoptic cooling keep probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes low while capping upside above 23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations in the final hours before midnight will be the key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy producing mostly clear skies and light winds for Milan on August 30, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32 °C.** Minimum temperatures are expected to occur around dawn, with current guidance centering on 19–22 °C depending on exact boundary-layer moisture and residual cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 16–19 °C, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 17–18 °C, but the current warm air mass and lack of synoptic cooling keep probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes low while capping upside above 23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations in the final hours before midnight will be the key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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