**Incoming frontal system with westerly flow and widespread rain is the main driver keeping Munich's September 9 minimum temperature tightly clustered around 12–14 °C.** Recent model runs from DWD-MOS, ECMWF, and GFS show a transition from the warm, mostly clear conditions of September 8 (highs near 30 °C) to cooler, moist air advection on the 9th, with daytime highs dropping to 20–22 °C and overnight lows limited by persistent cloud cover and moderate winds of 4–9 m/s. These factors suppress strong radiative cooling that would otherwise produce sharper drops. Historical September 9 averages (high ~20.7 °C, low ~11 °C) provide context, while current ensemble spreads and hourly guidance place the most probable minimums in the 12–14 °C range—explaining why those three outcomes dominate trader consensus with closely matched implied probabilities. New model updates and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 9 septembre ?
13°C 35%
14°C 31%
12°C 29%
18°C ou plus 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
4%
9°C
6%
10°C
6%
11°C
21%
12°C
29%
13°C
35%
14°C
31%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
4%
18°C ou plus
22%
13°C 35%
14°C 31%
12°C 29%
18°C ou plus 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$75 Vol.
4%
9°C
$10 Vol.
6%
10°C
$0 Vol.
6%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
35%
14°C
$4 Vol.
31%
15°C
$63 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
9%
17°C
$30 Vol.
4%
18°C ou plus
$40 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming frontal system with westerly flow and widespread rain is the main driver keeping Munich's September 9 minimum temperature tightly clustered around 12–14 °C.** Recent model runs from DWD-MOS, ECMWF, and GFS show a transition from the warm, mostly clear conditions of September 8 (highs near 30 °C) to cooler, moist air advection on the 9th, with daytime highs dropping to 20–22 °C and overnight lows limited by persistent cloud cover and moderate winds of 4–9 m/s. These factors suppress strong radiative cooling that would otherwise produce sharper drops. Historical September 9 averages (high ~20.7 °C, low ~11 °C) provide context, while current ensemble spreads and hourly guidance place the most probable minimums in the 12–14 °C range—explaining why those three outcomes dominate trader consensus with closely matched implied probabilities. New model updates and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$221Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming frontal system with westerly flow and widespread rain is the main driver keeping Munich's September 9 minimum temperature tightly clustered around 12–14 °C.** Recent model runs from DWD-MOS, ECMWF, and GFS show a transition from the warm, mostly clear conditions of September 8 (highs near 30 °C) to cooler, moist air advection on the 9th, with daytime highs dropping to 20–22 °C and overnight lows limited by persistent cloud cover and moderate winds of 4–9 m/s. These factors suppress strong radiative cooling that would otherwise produce sharper drops. Historical September 9 averages (high ~20.7 °C, low ~11 °C) provide context, while current ensemble spreads and hourly guidance place the most probable minimums in the 12–14 °C range—explaining why those three outcomes dominate trader consensus with closely matched implied probabilities. New model updates and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$221Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming frontal system with westerly flow and widespread rain is the main driver keeping Munich's September 9 minimum temperature tightly clustered around 12–14 °C.** Recent model runs from DWD-MOS, ECMWF, and GFS show a transition from the warm, mostly clear conditions of September 8 (highs near 30 °C) to cooler, moist air advection on the 9th, with daytime highs dropping to 20–22 °C and overnight lows limited by persistent cloud cover and moderate winds of 4–9 m/s. These factors suppress strong radiative cooling that would otherwise produce sharper drops. Historical September 9 averages (high ~20.7 °C, low ~11 °C) provide context, while current ensemble spreads and hourly guidance place the most probable minimums in the 12–14 °C range—explaining why those three outcomes dominate trader consensus with closely matched implied probabilities. New model updates and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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