Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 3 project a minimum temperature near 19–21°C under clear skies and northeasterly flow of 3–5 m/s, consistent with seasonal norms for early September along the Yellow Sea coast. Radiative cooling overnight under low humidity (around 50–70%) and light winds supports these values, while marine moderation limits further drops. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C or below as the leading outcome reflect trader emphasis on potential forecast revisions, model spread in mesoscale cooling, or localized urban effects that could produce sharper minima than guidance currently indicates. Upcoming model runs and official updates will likely drive any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Qingdao le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Qingdao le 3 septembre ?
14°C ou moins 47%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
19°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
47%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
34%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
14°C ou moins 47%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
19°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
47%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$63 Vol.
34%
18°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou plus
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 3 project a minimum temperature near 19–21°C under clear skies and northeasterly flow of 3–5 m/s, consistent with seasonal norms for early September along the Yellow Sea coast. Radiative cooling overnight under low humidity (around 50–70%) and light winds supports these values, while marine moderation limits further drops. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C or below as the leading outcome reflect trader emphasis on potential forecast revisions, model spread in mesoscale cooling, or localized urban effects that could produce sharper minima than guidance currently indicates. Upcoming model runs and official updates will likely drive any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$848Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 3 project a minimum temperature near 19–21°C under clear skies and northeasterly flow of 3–5 m/s, consistent with seasonal norms for early September along the Yellow Sea coast. Radiative cooling overnight under low humidity (around 50–70%) and light winds supports these values, while marine moderation limits further drops. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C or below as the leading outcome reflect trader emphasis on potential forecast revisions, model spread in mesoscale cooling, or localized urban effects that could produce sharper minima than guidance currently indicates. Upcoming model runs and official updates will likely drive any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$848Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 3 project a minimum temperature near 19–21°C under clear skies and northeasterly flow of 3–5 m/s, consistent with seasonal norms for early September along the Yellow Sea coast. Radiative cooling overnight under low humidity (around 50–70%) and light winds supports these values, while marine moderation limits further drops. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C or below as the leading outcome reflect trader emphasis on potential forecast revisions, model spread in mesoscale cooling, or localized urban effects that could produce sharper minima than guidance currently indicates. Upcoming model runs and official updates will likely drive any near-term shifts in these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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