Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Seoul's lowest temperature on April 26 at 8°C or below at Incheon International Airport station, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast projecting morning lows around 6–8°C amid clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with light winds under 5 km/h and low humidity, promotes strong radiational cooling overnight, consistent with observed dips to 9°C on April 24–25 and typical late-April diurnal swings exceeding 15°C. KMA ensemble models show tight agreement, with no significant divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a sudden southerly breeze raising lows to 9°C, though upper-air data suggests minimal risk; final station observations resolve the market tomorrow morning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Séoul le 26 avril ?
La température la plus basse à Séoul le 26 avril ?
8°C ou moins 100.0%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$82,179 Vol.
$82,179 Vol.
26 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
Oui
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C ou plus
Non
8°C ou moins 100.0%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$82,179 Vol.
$82,179 Vol.
26 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
$34,202 Vol.
Oui
9°C
$33,064 Vol.
Non
10°C
$3,106 Vol.
Non
11°C
$1,097 Vol.
Non
12°C
$708 Vol.
Non
13°C
$1,401 Vol.
Non
14°C
$944 Vol.
Non
15°C
$2,466 Vol.
Non
16°C
$1,163 Vol.
Non
17°C
$2,045 Vol.
Non
18°C ou plus
$1,984 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Seoul's lowest temperature on April 26 at 8°C or below at Incheon International Airport station, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast projecting morning lows around 6–8°C amid clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with light winds under 5 km/h and low humidity, promotes strong radiational cooling overnight, consistent with observed dips to 9°C on April 24–25 and typical late-April diurnal swings exceeding 15°C. KMA ensemble models show tight agreement, with no significant divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a sudden southerly breeze raising lows to 9°C, though upper-air data suggests minimal risk; final station observations resolve the market tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$82,179Date de fin
26 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Seoul's lowest temperature on April 26 at 8°C or below at Incheon International Airport station, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast projecting morning lows around 6–8°C amid clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with light winds under 5 km/h and low humidity, promotes strong radiational cooling overnight, consistent with observed dips to 9°C on April 24–25 and typical late-April diurnal swings exceeding 15°C. KMA ensemble models show tight agreement, with no significant divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a sudden southerly breeze raising lows to 9°C, though upper-air data suggests minimal risk; final station observations resolve the market tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$82,179Date de fin
26 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Seoul's lowest temperature on April 26 at 8°C or below at Incheon International Airport station, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-term forecast projecting morning lows around 6–8°C amid clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent cold air advection from the north, combined with light winds under 5 km/h and low humidity, promotes strong radiational cooling overnight, consistent with observed dips to 9°C on April 24–25 and typical late-April diurnal swings exceeding 15°C. KMA ensemble models show tight agreement, with no significant divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a sudden southerly breeze raising lows to 9°C, though upper-air data suggests minimal risk; final station observations resolve the market tomorrow morning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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