Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models project an overnight low of 27–28 °C in Shanghai on August 30 amid continued warm, humid maritime air and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have seen similar minima of 26–28 °C under comparable conditions of light winds and elevated dew points near 26 °C, with only modest day-to-day variability. These stable atmospheric patterns underpin the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 27 °C (63.5 %) and 28 °C (34.5 %), while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers absent an unexpected surge in mixing or clear-sky cooling. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at Shanghai’s primary observing station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 30 août ?
27°C 64%
28°C 35%
26°C 3%
25°C 2%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
64%
28°C
35%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 64%
28°C 35%
26°C 3%
25°C 2%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
64%
28°C
35%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models project an overnight low of 27–28 °C in Shanghai on August 30 amid continued warm, humid maritime air and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have seen similar minima of 26–28 °C under comparable conditions of light winds and elevated dew points near 26 °C, with only modest day-to-day variability. These stable atmospheric patterns underpin the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 27 °C (63.5 %) and 28 °C (34.5 %), while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers absent an unexpected surge in mixing or clear-sky cooling. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at Shanghai’s primary observing station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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