Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a Shanghai overnight minimum near 23°C on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points around 19–20°C limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate winds of 5–10 km/h reduce surface heat loss compared to calmer conditions. No frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected in the next 24 hours to shift the pattern. Historical September lows average near 20°C, but the current elevated baseline keeps probabilities tightly clustered around these two outcomes pending final observational data from local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 14 septembre ?
23°C 56%
24°C 44%
22°C 7%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
46%
24°C
44%
25°C
5%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 56%
24°C 44%
22°C 7%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$100 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,787 Vol.
7%
23°C
$2,730 Vol.
46%
24°C
$3,428 Vol.
44%
25°C
$1,307 Vol.
5%
26°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a Shanghai overnight minimum near 23°C on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points around 19–20°C limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate winds of 5–10 km/h reduce surface heat loss compared to calmer conditions. No frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected in the next 24 hours to shift the pattern. Historical September lows average near 20°C, but the current elevated baseline keeps probabilities tightly clustered around these two outcomes pending final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,991Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a Shanghai overnight minimum near 23°C on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points around 19–20°C limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate winds of 5–10 km/h reduce surface heat loss compared to calmer conditions. No frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected in the next 24 hours to shift the pattern. Historical September lows average near 20°C, but the current elevated baseline keeps probabilities tightly clustered around these two outcomes pending final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,991Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF points to a Shanghai overnight minimum near 23°C on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points around 19–20°C limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate winds of 5–10 km/h reduce surface heat loss compared to calmer conditions. No frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected in the next 24 hours to shift the pattern. Historical September lows average near 20°C, but the current elevated baseline keeps probabilities tightly clustered around these two outcomes pending final observational data from local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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