Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate a low of 25–27°C on September 3 under persistent northeast winds, high humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover with light rain or drizzle. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting market-implied odds favoring 26–27°C. Current observations from September 2 show similar patterns with lows near 25°C amid ongoing showers, while numerical models show close agreement on minimal temperature drop due to warm advection and suppressed diurnal range. Minor model spread in exact cloud timing or wind strength accounts for the tight 26–27°C contest, with any clearer break potentially allowing a dip toward 25°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these inputs ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 3 septembre ?
27°C 53%
26°C 39%
25°C 6%
24°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
39%
27°C
53%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 53%
26°C 39%
25°C 6%
24°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
22°C or below
$561 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$249 Vol.
4%
25°C
$434 Vol.
6%
26°C
$1,434 Vol.
39%
27°C
$1,007 Vol.
53%
28°C
$610 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate a low of 25–27°C on September 3 under persistent northeast winds, high humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover with light rain or drizzle. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting market-implied odds favoring 26–27°C. Current observations from September 2 show similar patterns with lows near 25°C amid ongoing showers, while numerical models show close agreement on minimal temperature drop due to warm advection and suppressed diurnal range. Minor model spread in exact cloud timing or wind strength accounts for the tight 26–27°C contest, with any clearer break potentially allowing a dip toward 25°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,446Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate a low of 25–27°C on September 3 under persistent northeast winds, high humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover with light rain or drizzle. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting market-implied odds favoring 26–27°C. Current observations from September 2 show similar patterns with lows near 25°C amid ongoing showers, while numerical models show close agreement on minimal temperature drop due to warm advection and suppressed diurnal range. Minor model spread in exact cloud timing or wind strength accounts for the tight 26–27°C contest, with any clearer break potentially allowing a dip toward 25°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,446Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate a low of 25–27°C on September 3 under persistent northeast winds, high humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover with light rain or drizzle. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting market-implied odds favoring 26–27°C. Current observations from September 2 show similar patterns with lows near 25°C amid ongoing showers, while numerical models show close agreement on minimal temperature drop due to warm advection and suppressed diurnal range. Minor model spread in exact cloud timing or wind strength accounts for the tight 26–27°C contest, with any clearer break potentially allowing a dip toward 25°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these inputs ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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