Trader consensus strongly supports a 7°C minimum in Warsaw on September 11, driven by numerical weather prediction model runs showing effective radiative cooling overnight under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds. Official forecasts align with observed surface temperatures near 12°C earlier in the period, transitioning to clearer skies that enhance heat loss from the boundary layer. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data from surface stations and ensemble guidance. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could raise the low by several degrees, though current atmospheric patterns make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 11 septembre ?
7°C 100.0%
5°C ou moins <1%
6°C <1%
8°C <1%
$2,113 Vol.
$2,113 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
Non
6°C
Non
7°C
Oui
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C ou plus
Non
7°C 100.0%
5°C ou moins <1%
6°C <1%
8°C <1%
$2,113 Vol.
$2,113 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
$150 Vol.
Non
6°C
$269 Vol.
Non
7°C
$250 Vol.
Oui
8°C
$138 Vol.
Non
9°C
$1,131 Vol.
Non
10°C
$40 Vol.
Non
11°C
$75 Vol.
Non
12°C
$15 Vol.
Non
13°C
$15 Vol.
Non
14°C
$15 Vol.
Non
15°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly supports a 7°C minimum in Warsaw on September 11, driven by numerical weather prediction model runs showing effective radiative cooling overnight under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds. Official forecasts align with observed surface temperatures near 12°C earlier in the period, transitioning to clearer skies that enhance heat loss from the boundary layer. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data from surface stations and ensemble guidance. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could raise the low by several degrees, though current atmospheric patterns make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,113Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly supports a 7°C minimum in Warsaw on September 11, driven by numerical weather prediction model runs showing effective radiative cooling overnight under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds. Official forecasts align with observed surface temperatures near 12°C earlier in the period, transitioning to clearer skies that enhance heat loss from the boundary layer. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data from surface stations and ensemble guidance. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could raise the low by several degrees, though current atmospheric patterns make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,113Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus strongly supports a 7°C minimum in Warsaw on September 11, driven by numerical weather prediction model runs showing effective radiative cooling overnight under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds. Official forecasts align with observed surface temperatures near 12°C earlier in the period, transitioning to clearer skies that enhance heat loss from the boundary layer. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data from surface stations and ensemble guidance. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could raise the low by several degrees, though current atmospheric patterns make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes