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Élections·Récompenses 50, 4.5, 20

Next Premier of Quebec

Market icon
Élections·Récompenses 50, 4.5, 20

Next Premier of Quebec

$11,183 Vol.

Polymarket

$11,183 Vol.

Market icon

Christine Fréchette

$4,266 Vol.

78%

Market icon

Bernard Drainville

$6,916 Vol.

22%

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Fréchette leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability to become Quebec's next premier following the ongoing Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership race to succeed François Legault, whose resignation prompted the contest. Voting by roughly 20,500 party members began April 7 and concludes April 12, with the winner announced in Drummondville and poised to lead ahead of the prorogued legislature resuming May 5. Fréchette's edge stems from early advantages like 13 initial cabinet endorsements and February polls favoring her 47-35 over rival Bernard Drainville, but Drainville narrowed the gap April 6 with backing from three key ministers—Simon Jolin-Barrette, Sonia Bélanger, and Jonatan Julien—highlighting a tight finish in this two-candidate race.

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,183
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Fréchette leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability to become Quebec's next premier following the ongoing Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) leadership race to succeed François Legault, whose resignation prompted the contest. Voting by roughly 20,500 party members began April 7 and concludes April 12, with the winner announced in Drummondville and poised to lead ahead of the prorogued legislature resuming May 5. Fréchette's edge stems from early advantages like 13 initial cabinet endorsements and February polls favoring her 47-35 over rival Bernard Drainville, but Drainville narrowed the gap April 6 with backing from three key ministers—Simon Jolin-Barrette, Sonia Bélanger, and Jonatan Julien—highlighting a tight finish in this two-candidate race.

Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,183
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Next Premier of Quebec » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Christine Fréchette » à 78%, suivi de « Bernard Drainville » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 78¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Premier of Quebec » a généré $11.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 6, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Premier of Quebec », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Premier of Quebec » est « Christine Fréchette » à 78%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bernard Drainville » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Premier of Quebec » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.