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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Next President of Benin

Market icon
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Next President of Benin

$29,903 Vol.

Polymarket

$29,903 Vol.

Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin? icon

Romuald Wadagni

$20,544 Vol.

98%

Will Paul Hounkpè be the next President of Benin? icon

Paul Hounkpè

$9,359 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Provisional results from Benin's April 12, 2026, presidential election show Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes, positioning him as the overwhelming trader consensus for next president at 98.4% implied probability. The sole opposition candidate, Paul Hounkpè, conceded defeat on April 13, solidifying Wadagni's landslide amid limited challengers following parliamentary outcomes that restricted opposition participation. As outgoing President Patrice Talon's endorsed successor, Wadagni benefited from strong economic growth and incumbency advantages. Official certification by the National Autonomous Electoral Commission (CENA) is pending, with reversal unlikely given the margin, though fraud allegations or court challenges could theoretically shift odds in this single-round absolute majority system.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,903
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Provisional results from Benin's April 12, 2026, presidential election show Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes, positioning him as the overwhelming trader consensus for next president at 98.4% implied probability. The sole opposition candidate, Paul Hounkpè, conceded defeat on April 13, solidifying Wadagni's landslide amid limited challengers following parliamentary outcomes that restricted opposition participation. As outgoing President Patrice Talon's endorsed successor, Wadagni benefited from strong economic growth and incumbency advantages. Official certification by the National Autonomous Electoral Commission (CENA) is pending, with reversal unlikely given the margin, though fraud allegations or court challenges could theoretically shift odds in this single-round absolute majority system.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,903
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Next President of Benin » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Romuald Wadagni » à 98%, suivi de « Paul Hounkpè » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next President of Benin » a généré $29.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 19, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next President of Benin », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next President of Benin » est « Romuald Wadagni » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Paul Hounkpè » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next President of Benin » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.