With over 91% of actas escrutadas by Peru's ONPE as of April 15, leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú holds a narrow lead for second place in the April 12-13 presidential first-round vote at 12.07%, edging far-right Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular at 11.85%, fueling trader consensus favoring Sánchez at 62% implied probability for the spot. Keiko Fujimori leads first at 17%, setting up a likely June 7 runoff. Logistical delays in remote rural and foreign voting stations—where Sánchez shows strength—have slowed final tallies, prompting unproven fraud allegations and protests from López Aliaga, though EU observers report no irregularities. Remaining counts from these areas could tip the balance before JNE certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRoberto Sánchez Palomino 60.1%
Rafael López Aliaga 38%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$2,968,748 Vol.
$2,968,748 Vol.
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
60%
Rafael López Aliaga
38%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 60.1%
Rafael López Aliaga 38%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$2,968,748 Vol.
$2,968,748 Vol.
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
60%
Rafael López Aliaga
38%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 91% of actas escrutadas by Peru's ONPE as of April 15, leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú holds a narrow lead for second place in the April 12-13 presidential first-round vote at 12.07%, edging far-right Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular at 11.85%, fueling trader consensus favoring Sánchez at 62% implied probability for the spot. Keiko Fujimori leads first at 17%, setting up a likely June 7 runoff. Logistical delays in remote rural and foreign voting stations—where Sánchez shows strength—have slowed final tallies, prompting unproven fraud allegations and protests from López Aliaga, though EU observers report no irregularities. Remaining counts from these areas could tip the balance before JNE certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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