With over 80% of votes tallied in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead at around 17%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino has surged into second at 12% amid late-count rural ballots, narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%. López Aliaga, a conservative businessman, alleges voter fraud and demands annulment, but no evidence has emerged, fueling trader consensus that he settles in third—reflected in 63% implied probability—while Sánchez eyes the June 7 runoff at 34% risk of slipping to third. The fragmented field of 35 candidates and slow scrutiny process heighten uncertainty for the final certified tally by the National Jury of Elections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPremier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : 3e place
Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : 3e place
Rafael López Aliaga 62.8%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 36.2%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$593,480 Vol.
$593,480 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
63%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
36%
Jorge Nieto
1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 62.8%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 36.2%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$593,480 Vol.
$593,480 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
$126,501 Vol.
63%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$107,590 Vol.
36%
Jorge Nieto
$123,780 Vol.
1%
Ricardo Belmont
$51,705 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$10,351 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$8,597 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$8,988 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$7,924 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$8,577 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$9,843 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$14,605 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$8,739 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$11,778 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$8,981 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$8,550 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$8,178 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$9,865 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$11,161 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$9,308 Vol.
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
$8,215 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$8,555 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$9,949 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$12,081 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 80% of votes tallied in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead at around 17%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino has surged into second at 12% amid late-count rural ballots, narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%. López Aliaga, a conservative businessman, alleges voter fraud and demands annulment, but no evidence has emerged, fueling trader consensus that he settles in third—reflected in 63% implied probability—while Sánchez eyes the June 7 runoff at 34% risk of slipping to third. The fragmented field of 35 candidates and slow scrutiny process heighten uncertainty for the final certified tally by the National Jury of Elections.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$593,480Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With over 80% of votes tallied in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead at around 17%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino has surged into second at 12% amid late-count rural ballots, narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%. López Aliaga, a conservative businessman, alleges voter fraud and demands annulment, but no evidence has emerged, fueling trader consensus that he settles in third—reflected in 63% implied probability—while Sánchez eyes the June 7 runoff at 34% risk of slipping to third. The fragmented field of 35 candidates and slow scrutiny process heighten uncertainty for the final certified tally by the National Jury of Elections.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$593,480Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 80% of votes tallied in Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori holds a clear lead at around 17%, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino has surged into second at 12% amid late-count rural ballots, narrowly ahead of Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%. López Aliaga, a conservative businessman, alleges voter fraud and demands annulment, but no evidence has emerged, fueling trader consensus that he settles in third—reflected in 63% implied probability—while Sánchez eyes the June 7 runoff at 34% risk of slipping to third. The fragmented field of 35 candidates and slow scrutiny process heighten uncertainty for the final certified tally by the National Jury of Elections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes