In Peru's April 12-13, 2026, first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori secured first place with around 17% as over 90% of actas are counted, setting up a likely runoff on June 7. The market reflects a razor-thin contest for second between Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú, who surged ahead of Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular by roughly 28,000 votes in recent tallies, buoyed by rural support. Traders see López Aliaga as the consensus third-place finisher at 62% implied probability, driven by his stronger urban base in remaining votes, while pricing Sánchez at 37% for third amid count delays, fraud allegations from López Aliaga, and minor threats like Jorge Nieto. Official certification by the National Jury of Elections will resolve outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPremier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : 3e place
Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : 3e place
Rafael López Aliaga 62.3%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 36.8%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$566,027 Vol.
$566,027 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
62%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
37%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 62.3%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 36.8%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$566,027 Vol.
$566,027 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
62%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
37%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Peru's April 12-13, 2026, first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori secured first place with around 17% as over 90% of actas are counted, setting up a likely runoff on June 7. The market reflects a razor-thin contest for second between Roberto Sánchez Palomino of Juntos por el Perú, who surged ahead of Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular by roughly 28,000 votes in recent tallies, buoyed by rural support. Traders see López Aliaga as the consensus third-place finisher at 62% implied probability, driven by his stronger urban base in remaining votes, while pricing Sánchez at 37% for third amid count delays, fraud allegations from López Aliaga, and minor threats like Jorge Nieto. Official certification by the National Jury of Elections will resolve outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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