**Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83.7%) in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting compulsory voting norms tempered by unprecedented disruptions.** Widespread logistical chaos—delayed ballot deliveries, 13% of Lima stations (holding 30% of voters) unopened by mid-afternoon, power outages, and new software glitches—sparked long lines and voter abandonment, extending voting into April 14 for thousands. This echoes 2021's 74.5% first-round turnout amid apathy from a decade of instability with eight presidents, despite fines for abstention. Early ONPE data implies around 68-75%, while Ipsos exit polls suggest over 81%; ongoing scrutiny amid fraud claims keeps lower bands viable ahead of full resolution by the National Jury of Elections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour70-75 % 83.9%
75-80 % 13%
80-85 % 3.5%
< 70 % 1.7%
$126,206 Vol.
$126,206 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
< 70 %
2%
70-75 %
84%
75-80 %
13%
80-85 %
3%
> 85 %
1%
70-75 % 83.9%
75-80 % 13%
80-85 % 3.5%
< 70 % 1.7%
$126,206 Vol.
$126,206 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
< 70 %
$18,854 Vol.
2%
70-75 %
$35,239 Vol.
84%
75-80 %
$19,573 Vol.
13%
80-85 %
$44,525 Vol.
3%
> 85 %
$8,030 Vol.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)**Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83.7%) in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting compulsory voting norms tempered by unprecedented disruptions.** Widespread logistical chaos—delayed ballot deliveries, 13% of Lima stations (holding 30% of voters) unopened by mid-afternoon, power outages, and new software glitches—sparked long lines and voter abandonment, extending voting into April 14 for thousands. This echoes 2021's 74.5% first-round turnout amid apathy from a decade of instability with eight presidents, despite fines for abstention. Early ONPE data implies around 68-75%, while Ipsos exit polls suggest over 81%; ongoing scrutiny amid fraud claims keeps lower bands viable ahead of full resolution by the National Jury of Elections.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volume
$126,206Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)**Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83.7%) in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting compulsory voting norms tempered by unprecedented disruptions.** Widespread logistical chaos—delayed ballot deliveries, 13% of Lima stations (holding 30% of voters) unopened by mid-afternoon, power outages, and new software glitches—sparked long lines and voter abandonment, extending voting into April 14 for thousands. This echoes 2021's 74.5% first-round turnout amid apathy from a decade of instability with eight presidents, despite fines for abstention. Early ONPE data implies around 68-75%, while Ipsos exit polls suggest over 81%; ongoing scrutiny amid fraud claims keeps lower bands viable ahead of full resolution by the National Jury of Elections.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$126,206Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout (83.7%) in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting compulsory voting norms tempered by unprecedented disruptions.** Widespread logistical chaos—delayed ballot deliveries, 13% of Lima stations (holding 30% of voters) unopened by mid-afternoon, power outages, and new software glitches—sparked long lines and voter abandonment, extending voting into April 14 for thousands. This echoes 2021's 74.5% first-round turnout amid apathy from a decade of instability with eight presidents, despite fines for abstention. Early ONPE data implies around 68-75%, while Ipsos exit polls suggest over 81%; ongoing scrutiny amid fraud claims keeps lower bands viable ahead of full resolution by the National Jury of Elections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes