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Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Cruz (Bolivie)

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Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Cruz (Bolivie)

Juan Pablo Velasco 77.6%

Otto Ritter 20.3%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Mauricio Quezada <1%

Polymarket

$798,870 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco 77.6%

Otto Ritter 20.3%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Mauricio Quezada <1%

Polymarket

$798,870 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco

$335,387 Vol.

78%

Otto Ritter

$106,353 Vol.

20%

Juan Carlos Medrano

$26,745 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Quezada

$21,893 Vol.

<1%

Chi Hyun Chung

$26,234 Vol.

<1%

Julio César Tórrez

$26,347 Vol.

<1%

Guido Eduardo Nayar

$50,705 Vol.

<1%

Miguel Cadima

$23,254 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Peña

$38,716 Vol.

<1%

Luis Fernando Camacho

$143,235 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Juan Pablo Velasco's commanding 77% trader consensus in the Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff stems from a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead of Otto Ritter by 8.9 points (43.6% to approximately 34.7%), with 15% undecided voters potentially consolidating behind the frontrunner. Following the March 22 first-round results—where Velasco narrowly led Ritter at 28.4% to 26.7%, advancing past incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—the TED Santa Cruz confirmed the ballotage on April 6 after re-votes in 105 precincts. An April 12 debate highlighted policy contrasts on mining royalties and technology but elicited no polling shifts, positioning Velasco as the favorite ahead of the April 19 decisive vote under Bolivia's subnational runoff rules.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$798,870
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Juan Pablo Velasco's commanding 77% trader consensus in the Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff stems from a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead of Otto Ritter by 8.9 points (43.6% to approximately 34.7%), with 15% undecided voters potentially consolidating behind the frontrunner. Following the March 22 first-round results—where Velasco narrowly led Ritter at 28.4% to 26.7%, advancing past incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—the TED Santa Cruz confirmed the ballotage on April 6 after re-votes in 105 precincts. An April 12 debate highlighted policy contrasts on mining royalties and technology but elicited no polling shifts, positioning Velasco as the favorite ahead of the April 19 decisive vote under Bolivia's subnational runoff rules.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$798,870
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Cruz (Bolivie) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Juan Pablo Velasco » à 78%, suivi de « Otto Ritter » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 78¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Cruz (Bolivie) » a généré $798.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Cruz (Bolivie) », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Cruz (Bolivie) » est « Juan Pablo Velasco » à 78%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Otto Ritter » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Cruz (Bolivie) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.