Juan Pablo Velasco's commanding 77% trader consensus in the Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff stems from a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead of Otto Ritter by 8.9 points (43.6% to approximately 34.7%), with 15% undecided voters potentially consolidating behind the frontrunner. Following the March 22 first-round results—where Velasco narrowly led Ritter at 28.4% to 26.7%, advancing past incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—the TED Santa Cruz confirmed the ballotage on April 6 after re-votes in 105 precincts. An April 12 debate highlighted policy contrasts on mining royalties and technology but elicited no polling shifts, positioning Velasco as the favorite ahead of the April 19 decisive vote under Bolivia's subnational runoff rules.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJuan Pablo Velasco 77.6%
Otto Ritter 20.3%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$798,870 Vol.
$798,870 Vol.
Juan Pablo Velasco
78%
Otto Ritter
20%
Juan Carlos Medrano
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
<1%
Miguel Cadima
<1%
Vladimir Peña
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
<1%
Juan Pablo Velasco 77.6%
Otto Ritter 20.3%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$798,870 Vol.
$798,870 Vol.
Juan Pablo Velasco
78%
Otto Ritter
20%
Juan Carlos Medrano
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
<1%
Miguel Cadima
<1%
Vladimir Peña
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Marché ouvert : Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Juan Pablo Velasco's commanding 77% trader consensus in the Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff stems from a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead of Otto Ritter by 8.9 points (43.6% to approximately 34.7%), with 15% undecided voters potentially consolidating behind the frontrunner. Following the March 22 first-round results—where Velasco narrowly led Ritter at 28.4% to 26.7%, advancing past incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—the TED Santa Cruz confirmed the ballotage on April 6 after re-votes in 105 precincts. An April 12 debate highlighted policy contrasts on mining royalties and technology but elicited no polling shifts, positioning Velasco as the favorite ahead of the April 19 decisive vote under Bolivia's subnational runoff rules.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes