Strava's last private valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 round, combined with a confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 that missed the spring window and still lacks a public filing or pricing details, anchors trader expectations near the 2B–3B range at 29.5 percent. The spread across brackets, with 7B–10B at 20.6 percent and 3B–4B at 13.9 percent, reflects uncertainty over subscription conversion from its 150–180 million athlete user base, limited recent revenue visibility, and the mixed environment for consumer-health IPOs like Oura and WHOOP. Preparatory moves such as adding board member Barry McCarthy add governance credibility but have not yet produced new metrics to shift the tight consensus. Resolution hinges on actual first-day trading data or a delay past 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourStrava IPO Closing Market Cap
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
2–3 milliards 30%
<2 Md$ 9.7%
4–5 milliards $ 10%
5–7 milliards 5.5%
$90,757 Vol.
$90,757 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<2 Md$
10%
2–3 milliards
30%
3–4 milliards
14%
4–5 milliards $
10%
5–7 milliards
5%
7 à 10 milliards
21%
10–15 Mds$
5%
15 milliards $+
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
7%
2–3 milliards 30%
<2 Md$ 9.7%
4–5 milliards $ 10%
5–7 milliards 5.5%
$90,757 Vol.
$90,757 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<2 Md$
$949 Vol.
10%
2–3 milliards
$54,521 Vol.
30%
3–4 milliards
$27,756 Vol.
14%
4–5 milliards $
$1,395 Vol.
10%
5–7 milliards
$1,016 Vol.
5%
7 à 10 milliards
$1,197 Vol.
21%
10–15 Mds$
$1,748 Vol.
5%
15 milliards $+
$1,436 Vol.
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
$739 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's last private valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 round, combined with a confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 that missed the spring window and still lacks a public filing or pricing details, anchors trader expectations near the 2B–3B range at 29.5 percent. The spread across brackets, with 7B–10B at 20.6 percent and 3B–4B at 13.9 percent, reflects uncertainty over subscription conversion from its 150–180 million athlete user base, limited recent revenue visibility, and the mixed environment for consumer-health IPOs like Oura and WHOOP. Preparatory moves such as adding board member Barry McCarthy add governance credibility but have not yet produced new metrics to shift the tight consensus. Resolution hinges on actual first-day trading data or a delay past 2027.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$90,757Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's last private valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 round, combined with a confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 that missed the spring window and still lacks a public filing or pricing details, anchors trader expectations near the 2B–3B range at 29.5 percent. The spread across brackets, with 7B–10B at 20.6 percent and 3B–4B at 13.9 percent, reflects uncertainty over subscription conversion from its 150–180 million athlete user base, limited recent revenue visibility, and the mixed environment for consumer-health IPOs like Oura and WHOOP. Preparatory moves such as adding board member Barry McCarthy add governance credibility but have not yet produced new metrics to shift the tight consensus. Resolution hinges on actual first-day trading data or a delay past 2027.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$90,757Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Strava's last private valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 round, combined with a confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 that missed the spring window and still lacks a public filing or pricing details, anchors trader expectations near the 2B–3B range at 29.5 percent. The spread across brackets, with 7B–10B at 20.6 percent and 3B–4B at 13.9 percent, reflects uncertainty over subscription conversion from its 150–180 million athlete user base, limited recent revenue visibility, and the mixed environment for consumer-health IPOs like Oura and WHOOP. Preparatory moves such as adding board member Barry McCarthy add governance credibility but have not yet produced new metrics to shift the tight consensus. Resolution hinges on actual first-day trading data or a delay past 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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