Major tech firms continue redirecting capital toward artificial intelligence infrastructure and data centers, prompting workforce reductions to fund hundreds of billions in capex while automating routine roles. Trackers such as TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi show 2026 year-to-date cuts already exceeding 2025's pace on a daily basis, with Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Oracle announcing thousands of positions eliminated through mid-July. April's spike of over 45,000 cuts marked the sharpest monthly decline in two years, driven by efficiency mandates and AI transformation plans. Traders see limited reversal near term absent a broad economic rebound or slowdown in AI spending, keeping the implied probability for higher 2026 layoffs elevated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEn hausse
$25,690 Vol.
$25,690 Vol.
En hausse
$25,690 Vol.
$25,690 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Major tech firms continue redirecting capital toward artificial intelligence infrastructure and data centers, prompting workforce reductions to fund hundreds of billions in capex while automating routine roles. Trackers such as TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi show 2026 year-to-date cuts already exceeding 2025's pace on a daily basis, with Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Oracle announcing thousands of positions eliminated through mid-July. April's spike of over 45,000 cuts marked the sharpest monthly decline in two years, driven by efficiency mandates and AI transformation plans. Traders see limited reversal near term absent a broad economic rebound or slowdown in AI spending, keeping the implied probability for higher 2026 layoffs elevated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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