Strong trader consensus for more tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025 reflects a sharp reversal in early-year trends, with trackers reporting over 100,000 cuts worldwide by mid-May—already exceeding 2025 quarterly averages and on pace for the highest first-half totals since 2023. Major firms including Meta, Amazon, Intuit, Coinbase, and Wix have announced thousands of reductions, frequently citing AI-driven efficiency gains that allow reallocation of resources toward model development and infrastructure rather than headcount. Surveys of hiring managers show roughly half expect further cuts this year, with AI cited as a primary driver alongside ongoing cost discipline. This momentum, absent any major reversal in capital spending patterns or demand recovery, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for an increase.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEn hausse
$25,326 Vol.
$25,326 Vol.
28 févr. 2027
En hausse
$25,326 Vol.
$25,326 Vol.
28 févr. 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Strong trader consensus for more tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025 reflects a sharp reversal in early-year trends, with trackers reporting over 100,000 cuts worldwide by mid-May—already exceeding 2025 quarterly averages and on pace for the highest first-half totals since 2023. Major firms including Meta, Amazon, Intuit, Coinbase, and Wix have announced thousands of reductions, frequently citing AI-driven efficiency gains that allow reallocation of resources toward model development and infrastructure rather than headcount. Surveys of hiring managers show roughly half expect further cuts this year, with AI cited as a primary driver alongside ongoing cost discipline. This momentum, absent any major reversal in capital spending patterns or demand recovery, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for an increase.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$25,326Date de fin
28 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Strong trader consensus for more tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025 reflects a sharp reversal in early-year trends, with trackers reporting over 100,000 cuts worldwide by mid-May—already exceeding 2025 quarterly averages and on pace for the highest first-half totals since 2023. Major firms including Meta, Amazon, Intuit, Coinbase, and Wix have announced thousands of reductions, frequently citing AI-driven efficiency gains that allow reallocation of resources toward model development and infrastructure rather than headcount. Surveys of hiring managers show roughly half expect further cuts this year, with AI cited as a primary driver alongside ongoing cost discipline. This momentum, absent any major reversal in capital spending patterns or demand recovery, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for an increase.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,326Date de fin
28 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong trader consensus for more tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025 reflects a sharp reversal in early-year trends, with trackers reporting over 100,000 cuts worldwide by mid-May—already exceeding 2025 quarterly averages and on pace for the highest first-half totals since 2023. Major firms including Meta, Amazon, Intuit, Coinbase, and Wix have announced thousands of reductions, frequently citing AI-driven efficiency gains that allow reallocation of resources toward model development and infrastructure rather than headcount. Surveys of hiring managers show roughly half expect further cuts this year, with AI cited as a primary driver alongside ongoing cost discipline. This momentum, absent any major reversal in capital spending patterns or demand recovery, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for an increase.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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