Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAccord nucléaire américano-iranien d'ici le 30 juin ?
Accord nucléaire américano-iranien d'ici le 30 juin ?
Oui
$11,324,069 Vol.
$11,324,069 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$11,324,069 Vol.
$11,324,069 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$11,324,069Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$11,324,069Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes