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Quels candidats se qualifient pour le second tour de la présidentielle péruvienne de 2026 ?

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Quels candidats se qualifient pour le second tour de la présidentielle péruvienne de 2026 ?

Autre 59.5%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 39%

Fujimori & Nieto <1%

López Aliaga & López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$971,169 Vol.

Autre 59.5%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 39%

Fujimori & Nieto <1%

López Aliaga & López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$971,169 Vol.

Autre

$242,688 Vol.

60%

López Aliaga & Fujimori

$317,474 Vol.

39%

Fujimori & Nieto

$198,753 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & López Chau

$24,017 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Nieto

$32,793 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Fujimori

$67,800 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Nieto

$16,487 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Sánchez Palomino

$24,242 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino

$37,670 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Grozo

$9,953 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With over 91% of first-round votes counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17%, securing her runoff spot on June 7, while the second-place battle remains razor-tight among Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), Jorge Nieto (11.1%), and Ricardo Belmont (10.2%). This fragmentation among 35 candidates, coupled with slow ONPE tallies favoring rural left-leaning support for Sánchez but pending urban Lima and expatriate ballots boosting Aliaga, explains trader consensus pricing "Other" pairings highest at 59%, edging the López Aliaga-Fujimori duo at 40.5%. Protests and fraud claims by López Aliaga supporters add uncertainty ahead of final certification.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$971,169
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With over 91% of first-round votes counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17%, securing her runoff spot on June 7, while the second-place battle remains razor-tight among Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), Jorge Nieto (11.1%), and Ricardo Belmont (10.2%). This fragmentation among 35 candidates, coupled with slow ONPE tallies favoring rural left-leaning support for Sánchez but pending urban Lima and expatriate ballots boosting Aliaga, explains trader consensus pricing "Other" pairings highest at 59%, edging the López Aliaga-Fujimori duo at 40.5%. Protests and fraud claims by López Aliaga supporters add uncertainty ahead of final certification.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$971,169
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Quels candidats se qualifient pour le second tour de la présidentielle péruvienne de 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Autre » à 60%, suivi de « López Aliaga & Fujimori » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 60¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quels candidats se qualifient pour le second tour de la présidentielle péruvienne de 2026 ? » a généré $971.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quels candidats se qualifient pour le second tour de la présidentielle péruvienne de 2026 ? », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quels candidats se qualifient pour le second tour de la présidentielle péruvienne de 2026 ? » est « Autre » à 60%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 60% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « López Aliaga & Fujimori » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quels candidats se qualifient pour le second tour de la présidentielle péruvienne de 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.