Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan have maintained a stable public partnership since their 1987 marriage, with Peng continuing to appear alongside him in official diplomatic roles as recently as the September 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and earlier joint events with North Korean leadership. No verified reports or credible signals of marital strain have emerged, consistent with the Chinese Communist Party’s emphasis on a harmonious family image for top leaders and tight controls on personal information. Traders assign a 99.3% probability to no divorce before 2027 because any such development would represent a sharp break from decades of precedent and carry substantial political risks. Only an unforeseen personal or health-related development could realistically shift this outlook within the timeframe.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
<1% chance
$110,941 Vol.
$110,941 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
<1% chance
$110,941 Vol.
$110,941 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan have maintained a stable public partnership since their 1987 marriage, with Peng continuing to appear alongside him in official diplomatic roles as recently as the September 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and earlier joint events with North Korean leadership. No verified reports or credible signals of marital strain have emerged, consistent with the Chinese Communist Party’s emphasis on a harmonious family image for top leaders and tight controls on personal information. Traders assign a 99.3% probability to no divorce before 2027 because any such development would represent a sharp break from decades of precedent and carry substantial political risks. Only an unforeseen personal or health-related development could realistically shift this outlook within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Marché ouvert : Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$110,941Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan have maintained a stable public partnership since their 1987 marriage, with Peng continuing to appear alongside him in official diplomatic roles as recently as the September 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and earlier joint events with North Korean leadership. No verified reports or credible signals of marital strain have emerged, consistent with the Chinese Communist Party’s emphasis on a harmonious family image for top leaders and tight controls on personal information. Traders assign a 99.3% probability to no divorce before 2027 because any such development would represent a sharp break from decades of precedent and carry substantial political risks. Only an unforeseen personal or health-related development could realistically shift this outlook within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$110,941Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan have maintained a stable public partnership since their 1987 marriage, with Peng continuing to appear alongside him in official diplomatic roles as recently as the September 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and earlier joint events with North Korean leadership. No verified reports or credible signals of marital strain have emerged, consistent with the Chinese Communist Party’s emphasis on a harmonious family image for top leaders and tight controls on personal information. Traders assign a 99.3% probability to no divorce before 2027 because any such development would represent a sharp break from decades of precedent and carry substantial political risks. Only an unforeseen personal or health-related development could realistically shift this outlook within the timeframe.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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