Chinese Communist Party norms and strict controls over leadership personal information underpin trader consensus that Xi Jinping will not divorce Peng Liyuan before the end of 2026. The couple has maintained a visible public partnership since their 1987 marriage, with no verified reports, announcements, or credible signals of marital strain emerging in recent years. Past references to Xi acknowledging earlier personal difficulties do not extend to current circumstances, and broader policy emphasis on family stability further reduces the likelihood of any public disclosure. While extreme unforeseen events such as health crises or internal political shocks could theoretically alter the situation, the complete absence of catalysts supports the current implied probability near 98 percent for no divorce.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$102,264 Vol.
$102,264 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$102,264 Vol.
$102,264 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Chinese Communist Party norms and strict controls over leadership personal information underpin trader consensus that Xi Jinping will not divorce Peng Liyuan before the end of 2026. The couple has maintained a visible public partnership since their 1987 marriage, with no verified reports, announcements, or credible signals of marital strain emerging in recent years. Past references to Xi acknowledging earlier personal difficulties do not extend to current circumstances, and broader policy emphasis on family stability further reduces the likelihood of any public disclosure. While extreme unforeseen events such as health crises or internal political shocks could theoretically alter the situation, the complete absence of catalysts supports the current implied probability near 98 percent for no divorce.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Marché ouvert : Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$102,264Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Chinese Communist Party norms and strict controls over leadership personal information underpin trader consensus that Xi Jinping will not divorce Peng Liyuan before the end of 2026. The couple has maintained a visible public partnership since their 1987 marriage, with no verified reports, announcements, or credible signals of marital strain emerging in recent years. Past references to Xi acknowledging earlier personal difficulties do not extend to current circumstances, and broader policy emphasis on family stability further reduces the likelihood of any public disclosure. While extreme unforeseen events such as health crises or internal political shocks could theoretically alter the situation, the complete absence of catalysts supports the current implied probability near 98 percent for no divorce.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$102,264Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Chinese Communist Party norms and strict controls over leadership personal information underpin trader consensus that Xi Jinping will not divorce Peng Liyuan before the end of 2026. The couple has maintained a visible public partnership since their 1987 marriage, with no verified reports, announcements, or credible signals of marital strain emerging in recent years. Past references to Xi acknowledging earlier personal difficulties do not extend to current circumstances, and broader policy emphasis on family stability further reduces the likelihood of any public disclosure. While extreme unforeseen events such as health crises or internal political shocks could theoretically alter the situation, the complete absence of catalysts supports the current implied probability near 98 percent for no divorce.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes