The Democratic Party of Korea's 96.5% implied probability in the June 3, 2026, local elections stems from its commanding position as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office following the 2024 impeachment and 2026 conviction of former People Power Party President Yoon Suk-yeol for his failed martial law declaration. Recent polls show the Democratic Party leading by wide margins—often 48% to 20%—in key battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Daegu, bolstered by swift candidate nominations for most metropolitan mayors and provincial governors amid the opposition People Power Party's nomination chaos and internal fractures. While trader consensus reflects this "blue wave," low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, hardline Democratic primary upsets eroding moderate support, or unexpected voter turnout favoring the fragmented opposition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 दक्षिण कोरियाई स्थानीय चुनाव: पार्टी विजेता
2026 दक्षिण कोरियाई स्थानीय चुनाव: पार्टी विजेता
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी ऑफ कोरिया (डीपी) 96.4%
पीपल पावर पार्टी (पीपीपी) 3.1%
प्रोग्रेसिव पार्टी (पीपी) <1%
रिफॉर्म पार्टी (आरपी) <1%
$2,229,031 वॉल्यूम
$2,229,031 वॉल्यूम
3 जून, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी ऑफ कोरिया (डीपी)
96%
पीपल पावर पार्टी (पीपीपी)
3%
प्रोग्रेसिव पार्टी (पीपी)
<1%
रिफॉर्म पार्टी (आरपी)
<1%
रीबिल्डिंग कोरिया पार्टी (RKP)
<1%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी ऑफ कोरिया (डीपी) 96.4%
पीपल पावर पार्टी (पीपीपी) 3.1%
प्रोग्रेसिव पार्टी (पीपी) <1%
रिफॉर्म पार्टी (आरपी) <1%
$2,229,031 वॉल्यूम
$2,229,031 वॉल्यूम
3 जून, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी ऑफ कोरिया (डीपी)
$474,904 वॉल्यूम
96%
पीपल पावर पार्टी (पीपीपी)
$1,039,580 वॉल्यूम
3%
प्रोग्रेसिव पार्टी (पीपी)
$312,929 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रिफॉर्म पार्टी (आरपी)
$149,937 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रीबिल्डिंग कोरिया पार्टी (RKP)
$251,682 वॉल्यूम
<1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The Democratic Party of Korea's 96.5% implied probability in the June 3, 2026, local elections stems from its commanding position as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office following the 2024 impeachment and 2026 conviction of former People Power Party President Yoon Suk-yeol for his failed martial law declaration. Recent polls show the Democratic Party leading by wide margins—often 48% to 20%—in key battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Daegu, bolstered by swift candidate nominations for most metropolitan mayors and provincial governors amid the opposition People Power Party's nomination chaos and internal fractures. While trader consensus reflects this "blue wave," low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, hardline Democratic primary upsets eroding moderate support, or unexpected voter turnout favoring the fragmented opposition.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,229,031समाप्ति तिथि
3 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The Democratic Party of Korea's 96.5% implied probability in the June 3, 2026, local elections stems from its commanding position as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office following the 2024 impeachment and 2026 conviction of former People Power Party President Yoon Suk-yeol for his failed martial law declaration. Recent polls show the Democratic Party leading by wide margins—often 48% to 20%—in key battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Daegu, bolstered by swift candidate nominations for most metropolitan mayors and provincial governors amid the opposition People Power Party's nomination chaos and internal fractures. While trader consensus reflects this "blue wave," low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, hardline Democratic primary upsets eroding moderate support, or unexpected voter turnout favoring the fragmented opposition.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
वॉल्यूम
$2,229,031समाप्ति तिथि
3 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea's 96.5% implied probability in the June 3, 2026, local elections stems from its commanding position as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office following the 2024 impeachment and 2026 conviction of former People Power Party President Yoon Suk-yeol for his failed martial law declaration. Recent polls show the Democratic Party leading by wide margins—often 48% to 20%—in key battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Daegu, bolstered by swift candidate nominations for most metropolitan mayors and provincial governors amid the opposition People Power Party's nomination chaos and internal fractures. While trader consensus reflects this "blue wave," low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, hardline Democratic primary upsets eroding moderate support, or unexpected voter turnout favoring the fragmented opposition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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