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Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Market icon

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

अप्रैल 30

अप्रैल 30

$38,878 वॉल्यूम

30 अप्रैल, 2026
Polymarket

$38,878 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

April 15

$15,117 वॉल्यूम

4%

April 30

$12,396 वॉल्यूम

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data records three magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes in the past 30 days—a 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, 7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, and 7.4 off Indonesia on April 1—with no further events through April 16, reflecting typical activity along Pacific subduction zones. Globally, about 15-20 such quakes occur annually per historical records, distributed roughly as a Poisson process without reliable short-term precursors. Trader consensus on "another" event weighs this baseline rate against the market's time window and resolution criteria, amid inherent seismic uncertainty. Ongoing USGS real-time monitoring via earthquake.usgs.gov provides the authoritative feed for potential shifts, as new detections resolve markets rapidly.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
वॉल्यूम
$38,878
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data records three magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes in the past 30 days—a 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, 7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, and 7.4 off Indonesia on April 1—with no further events through April 16, reflecting typical activity along Pacific subduction zones. Globally, about 15-20 such quakes occur annually per historical records, distributed roughly as a Poisson process without reliable short-term precursors. Trader consensus on "another" event weighs this baseline rate against the market's time window and resolution criteria, amid inherent seismic uncertainty. Ongoing USGS real-time monitoring via earthquake.usgs.gov provides the authoritative feed for potential shifts, as new detections resolve markets rapidly.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
वॉल्यूम
$38,878
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?" Polymarket पर 3 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, April 30 37% (37¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद April 15 4% पर है।

आज तक, "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?" ने कुल $38.9K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Apr 2, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 3 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "April 30" 37% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "April 15" 4% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।