Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), leading the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), commands trader consensus at 96% implied probability of forming Assam's next majority government following the April 9, 2026, single-phase legislative assembly elections across 126 seats, driven by consistent pre-poll surveys projecting NDA wins of 90+ seats and record 85% voter turnout favoring BJP strongholds in upper Assam, tea tribe, and indigenous areas. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's enduring popularity—preferred by nearly half of respondents—bolsters incumbency advantages from the 2021 victory, amid fragmented opposition including Indian National Congress (INC) and All India Trinamool Congress (AITC). While unverified opposition allegations of strongroom security lapses persist, vote counting on May 4 could confirm the outcome unless substantiated irregularities trigger re-polls or legal interventions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअसम विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
असम विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
भाजपा 96.2%
आईएनसी 3.0%
एआईटीसी <1%
सीपीआई(एम) <1%
$60,364 वॉल्यूम
$60,364 वॉल्यूम
20 मई, 2026
भाजपा
96%
आईएनसी
3%
एआईटीसी
<1%
सीपीआई(एम)
<1%
एनसीपी
<1%
एआईयूडीएफ
<1%
बीपीएफ
<1%
सीपीआई
<1%
एनपीईपी
<1%
एजीपी
<1%
भाजपा 96.2%
आईएनसी 3.0%
एआईटीसी <1%
सीपीआई(एम) <1%
$60,364 वॉल्यूम
$60,364 वॉल्यूम
20 मई, 2026
भाजपा
$11,682 वॉल्यूम
96%
आईएनसी
$7,393 वॉल्यूम
3%
एआईटीसी
$4,503 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सीपीआई(एम)
$4,830 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एनसीपी
$4,181 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एआईयूडीएफ
$4,917 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बीपीएफ
$4,458 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सीपीआई
$8,605 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एनपीईपी
$5,154 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एजीपी
$4,642 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), leading the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), commands trader consensus at 96% implied probability of forming Assam's next majority government following the April 9, 2026, single-phase legislative assembly elections across 126 seats, driven by consistent pre-poll surveys projecting NDA wins of 90+ seats and record 85% voter turnout favoring BJP strongholds in upper Assam, tea tribe, and indigenous areas. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's enduring popularity—preferred by nearly half of respondents—bolsters incumbency advantages from the 2021 victory, amid fragmented opposition including Indian National Congress (INC) and All India Trinamool Congress (AITC). While unverified opposition allegations of strongroom security lapses persist, vote counting on May 4 could confirm the outcome unless substantiated irregularities trigger re-polls or legal interventions.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$60,364समाप्ति तिथि
9 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), leading the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), commands trader consensus at 96% implied probability of forming Assam's next majority government following the April 9, 2026, single-phase legislative assembly elections across 126 seats, driven by consistent pre-poll surveys projecting NDA wins of 90+ seats and record 85% voter turnout favoring BJP strongholds in upper Assam, tea tribe, and indigenous areas. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's enduring popularity—preferred by nearly half of respondents—bolsters incumbency advantages from the 2021 victory, amid fragmented opposition including Indian National Congress (INC) and All India Trinamool Congress (AITC). While unverified opposition allegations of strongroom security lapses persist, vote counting on May 4 could confirm the outcome unless substantiated irregularities trigger re-polls or legal interventions.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
वॉल्यूम
$60,364समाप्ति तिथि
9 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), leading the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), commands trader consensus at 96% implied probability of forming Assam's next majority government following the April 9, 2026, single-phase legislative assembly elections across 126 seats, driven by consistent pre-poll surveys projecting NDA wins of 90+ seats and record 85% voter turnout favoring BJP strongholds in upper Assam, tea tribe, and indigenous areas. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's enduring popularity—preferred by nearly half of respondents—bolsters incumbency advantages from the 2021 victory, amid fragmented opposition including Indian National Congress (INC) and All India Trinamool Congress (AITC). While unverified opposition allegations of strongroom security lapses persist, vote counting on May 4 could confirm the outcome unless substantiated irregularities trigger re-polls or legal interventions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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