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राजनीति·प्राथमिक

AZ -01 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर

Market icon
राजनीति·प्राथमिक

AZ -01 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर

जे फेली 71%

जोसेफ चैप्लिक 9.0%

जॉन ट्रोबो 7.1%

टॉड ग्राहम 5.3%

Polymarket

$369,069 वॉल्यूम

जे फेली 71%

जोसेफ चैप्लिक 9.0%

जॉन ट्रोबो 7.1%

टॉड ग्राहम 5.3%

Polymarket

$369,069 वॉल्यूम

जे फेली

$4,858 वॉल्यूम

71%

जोसेफ चैप्लिक

$8,148 वॉल्यूम

9%

जॉन ट्रोबो

$3,236 वॉल्यूम

7%

टॉड ग्राहम

$7,582 वॉल्यूम

5%

जीना स्वोबोदा

$4,187 वॉल्यूम

4%

जेसन ड्यूए

$0 वॉल्यूम

3%

मार्क ब्रनोविच

$37,875 वॉल्यूम

1%

करी लेक

$6,398 वॉल्यूम

1%

मैट ग्रेस

$47,835 वॉल्यूम

1%

मुचेल्ले उगेन्ती-रीटा

$4,346 वॉल्यूम

1%

केटलिन पिरिंगटन

$8,249 वॉल्यूम

1%

डेरिक गैलेगो

$3,525 वॉल्यूम

<1%

पॉल रीव्स

$222,116 वॉल्यूम

<1%

ब्रैंडन सॉवर्स

$10,713 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors former NFL kicker Jay Feely at 71% implied probability to win Arizona's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, driven by his dominant Q1 2026 fundraising haul of over $740,000—far outpacing rivals like John Trobough ($463,000 total raised) and Joseph Chaplik ($249,000)—bolstering his cash-on-hand lead and campaign momentum in this open toss-up seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's Trump endorsement and high-profile events, including with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., enhance his frontrunner status amid a crowded field, while Chaplik's recent March resignation from the state House to run full-time has lifted him to 9% without closing the gap. No public polls exist, but Feely's financial edge signals strong path-to-victory in the R+1 district critical for House control.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$369,069
समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors former NFL kicker Jay Feely at 71% implied probability to win Arizona's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, driven by his dominant Q1 2026 fundraising haul of over $740,000—far outpacing rivals like John Trobough ($463,000 total raised) and Joseph Chaplik ($249,000)—bolstering his cash-on-hand lead and campaign momentum in this open toss-up seat vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. Feely's Trump endorsement and high-profile events, including with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., enhance his frontrunner status amid a crowded field, while Chaplik's recent March resignation from the state House to run full-time has lifted him to 9% without closing the gap. No public polls exist, but Feely's financial edge signals strong path-to-victory in the R+1 district critical for House control.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$369,069
समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"AZ -01 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" Polymarket पर 14 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, जे फेली 71% (71¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद जोसेफ चैप्लिक 9% पर है।

आज तक, "AZ -01 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" ने कुल $369.1K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Nov 25, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"AZ -01 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 14 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"AZ -01 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "जे फेली" 71% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "जोसेफ चैप्लिक" 9% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"AZ -01 रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी विनर" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।