Former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the crowded AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early Trump endorsement in January and dominant Q1 fundraising of over $740,000 announced April 10—all from contributions, signaling strong donor support in this toss-up district opened by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik and business executive John Trobough trail at 8% and 7%, respectively, amid a fragmented field lacking public polls; Feely's name recognition and momentum from events like a recent RFK Jr. rally bolster his frontrunner status, though additional endorsements or spending could shift odds before early voting begins in June.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाJay Feely 71%
Joseph Chaplik 13.6%
John Trobough 6.9%
Todd Graham 5.5%
$347,554 वॉल्यूम
$347,554 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
Jay Feely
71%
Joseph Chaplik
8%
John Trobough
7%
Todd Graham
5%
Gina Swoboda
4%
Jason Duey
3%
Mark Brnovich
2%
Kari Lake
1%
Matt Gress
1%
Kaitlin Purrington
1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Jay Feely 71%
Joseph Chaplik 13.6%
John Trobough 6.9%
Todd Graham 5.5%
$347,554 वॉल्यूम
$347,554 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
Jay Feely
$4,794 वॉल्यूम
71%
Joseph Chaplik
$8,148 वॉल्यूम
8%
John Trobough
$3,236 वॉल्यूम
7%
Todd Graham
$7,582 वॉल्यूम
5%
Gina Swoboda
$4,187 वॉल्यूम
4%
Jason Duey
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
Mark Brnovich
$16,503 वॉल्यूम
2%
Kari Lake
$6,398 वॉल्यूम
1%
Matt Gress
$47,835 वॉल्यूम
1%
Kaitlin Purrington
$8,235 वॉल्यूम
1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
$4,321 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Paul Reevs
$222,106 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Brandon Sowers
$10,688 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Derrick Gallego
$3,520 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the crowded AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early Trump endorsement in January and dominant Q1 fundraising of over $740,000 announced April 10—all from contributions, signaling strong donor support in this toss-up district opened by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik and business executive John Trobough trail at 8% and 7%, respectively, amid a fragmented field lacking public polls; Feely's name recognition and momentum from events like a recent RFK Jr. rally bolster his frontrunner status, though additional endorsements or spending could shift odds before early voting begins in June.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$347,554समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the crowded AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early Trump endorsement in January and dominant Q1 fundraising of over $740,000 announced April 10—all from contributions, signaling strong donor support in this toss-up district opened by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik and business executive John Trobough trail at 8% and 7%, respectively, amid a fragmented field lacking public polls; Feely's name recognition and momentum from events like a recent RFK Jr. rally bolster his frontrunner status, though additional endorsements or spending could shift odds before early voting begins in June.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$347,554समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the crowded AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early Trump endorsement in January and dominant Q1 fundraising of over $740,000 announced April 10—all from contributions, signaling strong donor support in this toss-up district opened by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik and business executive John Trobough trail at 8% and 7%, respectively, amid a fragmented field lacking public polls; Feely's name recognition and momentum from events like a recent RFK Jr. rally bolster his frontrunner status, though additional endorsements or spending could shift odds before early voting begins in June.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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