Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands polls at 30-33% ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—leaving center-right GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%, per recent CAM (April 3-14: PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and Sova Harris (early April: PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%) surveys. This positioning stems from PB's anti-oligarchy surge since its March launch, stable GERB support amid fragmentation, and intensified police raids on vote-buying that have not eroded its base. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at over 90%; realistic challenges include polling errors, low turnout favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or scandals impacting established parties before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाBulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
GERB-SDS 94.6%
PP–DB 3.3%
PB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,327 वॉल्यूम
$58,327 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
GERB-SDS
95%
PP–DB
3%
PB
2%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 94.6%
PP–DB 3.3%
PB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,327 वॉल्यूम
$58,327 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
GERB-SDS
$24,898 वॉल्यूम
95%
PP–DB
$7,974 वॉल्यूम
3%
PB
$8,458 वॉल्यूम
2%
DPS
$1,604 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Velichie
$2,145 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$2,132 वॉल्यूम
<1%
BSP
$2,002 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ITN
$2,145 वॉल्यूम
<1%
APS
$3,977 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MECh
$2,992 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands polls at 30-33% ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—leaving center-right GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%, per recent CAM (April 3-14: PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and Sova Harris (early April: PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%) surveys. This positioning stems from PB's anti-oligarchy surge since its March launch, stable GERB support amid fragmentation, and intensified police raids on vote-buying that have not eroded its base. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at over 90%; realistic challenges include polling errors, low turnout favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or scandals impacting established parties before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,327समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands polls at 30-33% ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—leaving center-right GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%, per recent CAM (April 3-14: PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and Sova Harris (early April: PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%) surveys. This positioning stems from PB's anti-oligarchy surge since its March launch, stable GERB support amid fragmentation, and intensified police raids on vote-buying that have not eroded its base. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at over 90%; realistic challenges include polling errors, low turnout favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or scandals impacting established parties before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
वॉल्यूम
$58,327समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands polls at 30-33% ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth since 2021—leaving center-right GERB-SDS entrenched in second at 19-23%, per recent CAM (April 3-14: PB 32%, GERB-SDS 19%) and Sova Harris (early April: PB 34%, GERB-SDS 19%) surveys. This positioning stems from PB's anti-oligarchy surge since its March launch, stable GERB support amid fragmentation, and intensified police raids on vote-buying that have not eroded its base. Under proportional representation with a 4% threshold for 240 seats, trader consensus prices GERB-SDS second at over 90%; realistic challenges include polling errors, low turnout favoring nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or scandals impacting established parties before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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