Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation show the Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) securing 42 seats for first place, Centro Democrático (CD) 30 seats for second, and Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 26 seats for a clear third, driving trader consensus to price PLC at over 94% implied probability. PLC's consistent performance across departments like Antioquia, Sucre, and Atlántico, despite a 11.7% national vote share, solidified its position amid fragmented opposition. Ongoing escrutinio by the Registraduría Nacional, including scrutiny in Bogotá, has not altered top rankings, with final certification pending. Challenges like recounts or legal disputes reallocating curules could theoretically shift outcomes, though margins and lack of major discrepancies make this unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापार्टीडो लिबरल कोलंबियानो (पीएलसी) 95.0%
कैम्बियो रैडिकल (सीआर) 2.1%
सेंत्रो डेमोक्रेटिको (सीडी) 2.0%
कोलंबिया के लिए ऐतिहासिक संधि (पीएच) <1%
$13,958,408 वॉल्यूम
$13,958,408 वॉल्यूम

पार्टीडो लिबरल कोलंबियानो (पीएलसी)
95%

कैम्बियो रैडिकल (सीआर)
2%

सेंत्रो डेमोक्रेटिको (सीडी)
2%

कोलंबिया के लिए ऐतिहासिक संधि (पीएच)
1%

ग्रीन एलायंस (एवी)
<1%

पार्तिदो कंज़र्वादोर कोलंबियानो (कंज़र्वेटिव)
<1%

पार्तीदो दे ला यू (ला यू)
<1%

MIRA-CJL गठबंधन (MIRA-CJL)
<1%
पार्टीडो लिबरल कोलंबियानो (पीएलसी) 95.0%
कैम्बियो रैडिकल (सीआर) 2.1%
सेंत्रो डेमोक्रेटिको (सीडी) 2.0%
कोलंबिया के लिए ऐतिहासिक संधि (पीएच) <1%
$13,958,408 वॉल्यूम
$13,958,408 वॉल्यूम

पार्टीडो लिबरल कोलंबियानो (पीएलसी)
95%

कैम्बियो रैडिकल (सीआर)
2%

सेंत्रो डेमोक्रेटिको (सीडी)
2%

कोलंबिया के लिए ऐतिहासिक संधि (पीएच)
1%

ग्रीन एलायंस (एवी)
<1%

पार्तिदो कंज़र्वादोर कोलंबियानो (कंज़र्वेटिव)
<1%

पार्तीदो दे ला यू (ला यू)
<1%

MIRA-CJL गठबंधन (MIRA-CJL)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation show the Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) securing 42 seats for first place, Centro Democrático (CD) 30 seats for second, and Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 26 seats for a clear third, driving trader consensus to price PLC at over 94% implied probability. PLC's consistent performance across departments like Antioquia, Sucre, and Atlántico, despite a 11.7% national vote share, solidified its position amid fragmented opposition. Ongoing escrutinio by the Registraduría Nacional, including scrutiny in Bogotá, has not altered top rankings, with final certification pending. Challenges like recounts or legal disputes reallocating curules could theoretically shift outcomes, though margins and lack of major discrepancies make this unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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